TakuT
reacted to
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Hmm, is it finally time to go below 40?After three interest rate cuts, all interest rates have actually risen, so this rate cut phase is not about 'economic stimulus measures during an economic downturn,' but rather a 'relaxation of restrictive interest rates accompanying the high inflation easing.' It seems to have been proven. Economic indicators are actually determined by the market trading bonds, which indicates that bonds are not needed in the current economic situation. In fact, long-term bonds have been sold since September, and interest rates have continued to rise. The first rate cut in September resulted in a strong economy, with stocks rising and bond prices falling. The second rate cut in November saw further rise in interest rates due to inflation concerns reigniting after Trump's election. Although there was hope for a decrease in interest rates with the announcement of fiscally hawkish personnel midway, ultimately with the announcement of Powell's reappointment, the situation calmed down 🧯 and rose again. The third rate cut in December comes amid growing inflation concerns leading to a further increase in interest rates. The current interest rates are not within the range of whether the economy is good or bad, but rather within the scope of a strong economy indicating whether inflation is worsening or not. It is moving to the dimension of a strong economy under the range of inflation concerns. It probably won't go below 30, and the biggest issue currently being discussed...
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TakuT
liked and commented on
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
It's too scary that there are so many people on social media who are casually holding Leveraged ETFs for long-term, even though the securities company is explicitly warning that by nature, holding them will only lead to losses for day trading.
It's too scary that there are so many people on social media who are casually holding Leveraged ETFs for long-term, even though the securities company is explicitly warning that by nature, holding them will only lead to losses for day trading.
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TakuT
liked
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
This is also the time to prepare 😊
Patience is needed until 50-60.
This is also the time to prepare 😊
Patience is needed until 50-60.
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
I got beautifully caught in a bull trap...
I got beautifully caught in a bull trap...
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$Jumia Technologies (JMIA.US)$ What's wrong with you!
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TakuT
liked and commented on
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ It will start to reverse around after October 16th.
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TakuT
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$Jumia Technologies (JMIA.US)$
Nice to meet you. This is my first post on moomoo. I am Ginji Hirai, also known as the JMIA enthusiast. I hold 0.53 million shares of the African Amazon, Jumia.
I have a shareholding of 0.53 million shares.
I will not sell until it reaches at least 10 times.
Thank you in advance 🙇
Nice to meet you. This is my first post on moomoo. I am Ginji Hirai, also known as the JMIA enthusiast. I hold 0.53 million shares of the African Amazon, Jumia.
I have a shareholding of 0.53 million shares.
I will not sell until it reaches at least 10 times.
Thank you in advance 🙇
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TakuT
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ Unfortunately, following the strong US employment statistics, the market's expectation of a rate cut has receded and bonds have shifted from an upward trend to a decline 😭
In any case, it seems that interest rates will move based on the announced figures above! Will they rise? Fall? This is the fundamentals! Currently, the expectation of a 0.5% rate cut in November's FOMC has disappeared, with a 97.4% probability of a 0.25% rate cut and even a slight 2.6% probability of no rate cut. The chart is moving significantly with the change in fundamentals.
Market expectation observations are still fluctuating based on indicators, but even with strong employment, it's not extremely strong, so if it eventually heads downwards, I want to calmly wait and see 👀
* One step forward, one step back of observations = change in degree of expectations
Since I have work and swing trading is really difficult 💦, I will buy more TMF and EDV with dividends to avoid being shaken off by the noise 😋.
In any case, it seems that interest rates will move based on the announced figures above! Will they rise? Fall? This is the fundamentals! Currently, the expectation of a 0.5% rate cut in November's FOMC has disappeared, with a 97.4% probability of a 0.25% rate cut and even a slight 2.6% probability of no rate cut. The chart is moving significantly with the change in fundamentals.
Market expectation observations are still fluctuating based on indicators, but even with strong employment, it's not extremely strong, so if it eventually heads downwards, I want to calmly wait and see 👀
* One step forward, one step back of observations = change in degree of expectations
Since I have work and swing trading is really difficult 💦, I will buy more TMF and EDV with dividends to avoid being shaken off by the noise 😋.
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