The future prospects for glove demand may be better than expected, according to Kenag Investment Bank. $TOPGLOV (7113.MY)$
The outlook for future performance is more optimistic, with a significant upward revision of 39% and 42% in net profit forecast for the 2025 and 2026 fiscal years (ending at the end of August).
After recent meetings with senior executives of top glove, analysts at Kenag Investment Bank are optimistic about the company's performance outlook.
"There are indications that top glove will experience a stronger-than-expected demand rebound after entering the 2025 fiscal year."
He added that the sales of top glove continued to rise monthly in September this year, and the company also expects customer inventory replenishment activities to strengthen over the next several quarters.
"Currently, the monthly sales of top glove are increasing by 25% to 30%, raising the overall capacity utilization to 65% to 70%. We originally predicted that the company's capacity utilization in the 2025 fiscal year would only be 55%."
In addition, the analyst pointed out that top glove's exports to the usa continue to improve, now accounting for 28% to 30% of its global sales.
"Top glove believes this is due to inventory replenishment activities by US customers, along with more chinese glove makers being blacklisted by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), and capacity utilization of chinese counterparts also reaching 90%, almost at full production capacity."
Analysts believe that top glove is optimistic about the price trend of average glove prices, predicting that the average price will gradually increase in the future, with a possible increase of 5% to 15%...

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(Kuala Lumpur News, 17th) The United States has imposed higher tariffs on Chinese gloves than expected, which has prompted a sharp increase in local glove stocks, with the most favored by the market. $HARTA (5168.MY)$ Hartalega (HARTA, 5168, main board healthcare stock) also hit the daily limit up!
In a research report, Xingye Investment Bank pointed out that the United States has decided to significantly increase tariffs on Chinese goods, with the tariff rate for gloves set to be raised to 50% from 2025 and further increased to 100% in 2026.
Analysts believe that the punitive measures taken by the United States against China will have a significant spillover effect for Malaysian glove manufacturers, and the average selling price of Chinese gloves may surpass Malaysia as early as next year.
Previously, the proposed import tariff on Chinese gloves by the USA is set to be increased to 25% in 2026, which is significantly lower than the current adjustment level.
The analyst continued to say that this could likely lead to an average selling price of Chinese gloves, skyrocketing from the current $17 to $25.50 in 2025, and even rising to $34 in 2026.
"Therefore, this will bring price advantages to Malaysian glove manufacturers, as the industry's average selling price ranges only between 20 to 21 USD.""
Therefore, analysts do not rule out the possibility that Chinese operators may reconsider their plans to expand in overseas markets to avoid high tariffs.
"However, we believe that this expansion may cause Chinese operators to lose their cost competitiveness, as they cannot achieve cost savings overseas through coal production."
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