Gold has hit another ATH recently, what does it mean for regular investor, and how should you react to this ? You've probably seen some people talking about it and how now is a good time to buy gold, but should you ?
Background
1. First thing to know about gold is, its a non productive asset, it doesnt product any value.
2. Gold has been used throughout history as a hedge against uncertainty. the more the uncertainty, the high...
Background
1. First thing to know about gold is, its a non productive asset, it doesnt product any value.
2. Gold has been used throughout history as a hedge against uncertainty. the more the uncertainty, the high...
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Wishing a belated happy new year to all moomooers, hope everyone had a good year, looking forward to a better 2025
Lessons for 2024 - biggest winner and losers
2024 marks the year where I had to cut my biggest lost on a stock $TTVHB (0272.MY)$ at around -20%, from an initial capital of ~15% allocation, held this stock for 1.2 years, which is large as my personal max allocation for a single stock is 20%. Reasons are
1. Numerous uncertainty surround...
Lessons for 2024 - biggest winner and losers
2024 marks the year where I had to cut my biggest lost on a stock $TTVHB (0272.MY)$ at around -20%, from an initial capital of ~15% allocation, held this stock for 1.2 years, which is large as my personal max allocation for a single stock is 20%. Reasons are
1. Numerous uncertainty surround...
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$MBMR (5983.MY)$
This stock had a good run, bought last year while it was till 3.5, reason being it's the only proxy left for p2 after Umw MGO, unless u want to buy $SIME (4197.MY)$, which it's more of a conglomerate, and market treats it with discount, and fy23 was a record year for them, for fy24, I doubt their earnings can beat fy23 numbers, might exceed expectation but not much further increase in earnings, their 9mfy24 number is lower than fy22 yet they paid more dividends than fy22...
This stock had a good run, bought last year while it was till 3.5, reason being it's the only proxy left for p2 after Umw MGO, unless u want to buy $SIME (4197.MY)$, which it's more of a conglomerate, and market treats it with discount, and fy23 was a record year for them, for fy24, I doubt their earnings can beat fy23 numbers, might exceed expectation but not much further increase in earnings, their 9mfy24 number is lower than fy22 yet they paid more dividends than fy22...
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$MEGAFB (5327.MY)$
Speculators and gamblers go away,
Panic sell till a valuation I'm willing to pay,
Cos if u treat the stock market like a game,
You'll lose money and having yourself to blame
Speculators and gamblers go away,
Panic sell till a valuation I'm willing to pay,
Cos if u treat the stock market like a game,
You'll lose money and having yourself to blame
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When people start posting their gains and saying it can go higher, that's when u know it's at or near the peak
I dunno why it rallied so much, unless market is trying to price in fy26 and fy27 earnings?
Also when IBs upgrade their target price, issue call warrants or u see people taking on margin to buy a stock, that's also what we called 'peak behaviour'
$99SMART (5326.MY)$
I dunno why it rallied so much, unless market is trying to price in fy26 and fy27 earnings?
Also when IBs upgrade their target price, issue call warrants or u see people taking on margin to buy a stock, that's also what we called 'peak behaviour'
$99SMART (5326.MY)$
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The MADANI gov will announce budget 2025 on Oct 18 Friday, it will likely be streamed live on YouTube, as investors I do encourage all to watch even if you're not investing, it wud b nice to know what kinda of tax relief we gonna get and start collecting receipts
My personal wishlist from investment standpoint :
1. Revise windfall tax for plantation sector and encourage more investments in it - the plantation sector has been a laggard in terms of performance the only sector ...
My personal wishlist from investment standpoint :
1. Revise windfall tax for plantation sector and encourage more investments in it - the plantation sector has been a laggard in terms of performance the only sector ...
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$99SMART (5326.MY)$
Any increase in share price must be supported by increasing fundementals, a share pice rally that has outran fundementals can't sustain for long. Here's why I think 99 is starting to outran it's fundementals
1. The ipo price is valued at 25x FY25 earnings, at 2.3, it's valued at 35x FY25 earnings! For perspective this is more exp than a lot of tech companies currently, for a retail counter with single digit margins and man...
Any increase in share price must be supported by increasing fundementals, a share pice rally that has outran fundementals can't sustain for long. Here's why I think 99 is starting to outran it's fundementals
1. The ipo price is valued at 25x FY25 earnings, at 2.3, it's valued at 35x FY25 earnings! For perspective this is more exp than a lot of tech companies currently, for a retail counter with single digit margins and man...
![Always be cautious if there's any sudden price increase](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102847005/20240925/1727228155101-random5490-102847005-android-org.jpeg/thumb?area=104&is_public=true)
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$99SMART (5326.MY)$
Interesting observation, a lot of institutional investor are selling this stock on d1 of lisitng, and as I expected it didn't go >50% on opening, few reasons for this
1. Not oversubscribed by huge amount only 3x, which is the worst one ytd compared to other ipos
2. Word on the street is that most fund manager think it's too exp in terms of valuation
3. Huge ipos rarely rally sharply on d1, and based on share holding post ipo, this is a cash out by ...
Interesting observation, a lot of institutional investor are selling this stock on d1 of lisitng, and as I expected it didn't go >50% on opening, few reasons for this
1. Not oversubscribed by huge amount only 3x, which is the worst one ytd compared to other ipos
2. Word on the street is that most fund manager think it's too exp in terms of valuation
3. Huge ipos rarely rally sharply on d1, and based on share holding post ipo, this is a cash out by ...
![Institution investor selling](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102847005/20240909/1725844844494-random163-102847005-android-compress.png/thumb?area=104&is_public=true)
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Most companies have already reported their earnings for the 2Q of 2024, heres a breakdown of earnings vs estimates by sector, and also what analyst are bullish / bearish on.
Of note is that O&G, automotive and banks got upgraded, while technology, telco and construction got downgraded, now how u interpret this is up to u, but as a long term investor vs trader, u shud interpret this differently, as a trader, u might want to focus on sectors t...
Of note is that O&G, automotive and banks got upgraded, while technology, telco and construction got downgraded, now how u interpret this is up to u, but as a long term investor vs trader, u shud interpret this differently, as a trader, u might want to focus on sectors t...
![Bursa analyst sector outlook for the remaining of 2024](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102847005/20240904/1f9d7027a31a277c195867d6f6264af6.jpg/thumb?area=104&is_public=true)
![Bursa analyst sector outlook for the remaining of 2024](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/102847005/20240904/1e229c1d0c58d354651c15801868baba.jpg/thumb?area=104&is_public=true)
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$YTLPOWR (6742.MY)$
Seems like market came back to its senses and pushed up the valuation to about 10x as of this writing, whether it can be brought up to historic High of 12x, your guess is as good as mine
Let this be a lesson to all, do your research esp if u are investing, so you have strong conviction for strong holding power and also able to average down
If you're speculating / trading, the advice I give is that stock market is zero sum game, it's also a wealth transfering tool...
Seems like market came back to its senses and pushed up the valuation to about 10x as of this writing, whether it can be brought up to historic High of 12x, your guess is as good as mine
Let this be a lesson to all, do your research esp if u are investing, so you have strong conviction for strong holding power and also able to average down
If you're speculating / trading, the advice I give is that stock market is zero sum game, it's also a wealth transfering tool...
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Ultraboom OP ManiArc : Maybe, I don't use TA, and I tend to ignore short term price movements, cos I know it's hard to predict them
Ultraboom OP 73587165 : Well I again won't try and predict short term price movements, but whether gold's price is 'overvalued' there's no way to measure it, cos there's no earnings multiple to measure it's valuation, it's all based on supply and demand as well as sentiment