I. Interpretation of the general trend: the performance and rotation rules of market sentiment
$SSE Composite Index (000001.SH)$
Today's market index surged higher in early trading, but fluctuated and retreated in the afternoon, which is basically in line with the expected trend. Market sentiment was relatively positive at the opening of the market, driving rotation in the short-term sector, but the rise in sentiment was mainly focused on local topics. Friday's fluctuations were more affected by news, and market sentiment was characterized by cautious optimism and structured capital flows.
Specifically, the semiconductor sector is markedly divided, indicating that capital began to be deployed selectively after a high level of fluctuation; the consumer electronics and low-altitude economy sectors showed continuity, suggesting that market sentiment is shifting from short-term upward momentum to thematic investment. However, in the sector after a continuous rise, short-term differences and the risk of sentiment receding are also accumulating, and investors need to pay attention to the risk of rushing back. Overall, the market is in a rotating market rhythm, and topics are constantly changing. This kind of mood fluctuation is typical of a volatile market.
II. Analysis of individual stocks and hot sectors: the driving logic of market sentiment
1. Oriental Wealth:
Interpretation of sentiment and trends: Today, Dongfang Wealth is moving low and moving high. As a leader in internet finance, the market is paying the same attention to its capital as ever. The rise in Tianfeng Securities in the intraday market has boosted market confidence in large financial sectors, indicating that current market sentiment is very sensitive to favorable news. Although the index has fluctuated repeatedly recently, Oriental Wealth has...
$SSE Composite Index (000001.SH)$
Today's market index surged higher in early trading, but fluctuated and retreated in the afternoon, which is basically in line with the expected trend. Market sentiment was relatively positive at the opening of the market, driving rotation in the short-term sector, but the rise in sentiment was mainly focused on local topics. Friday's fluctuations were more affected by news, and market sentiment was characterized by cautious optimism and structured capital flows.
Specifically, the semiconductor sector is markedly divided, indicating that capital began to be deployed selectively after a high level of fluctuation; the consumer electronics and low-altitude economy sectors showed continuity, suggesting that market sentiment is shifting from short-term upward momentum to thematic investment. However, in the sector after a continuous rise, short-term differences and the risk of sentiment receding are also accumulating, and investors need to pay attention to the risk of rushing back. Overall, the market is in a rotating market rhythm, and topics are constantly changing. This kind of mood fluctuation is typical of a volatile market.
II. Analysis of individual stocks and hot sectors: the driving logic of market sentiment
1. Oriental Wealth:
Interpretation of sentiment and trends: Today, Dongfang Wealth is moving low and moving high. As a leader in internet finance, the market is paying the same attention to its capital as ever. The rise in Tianfeng Securities in the intraday market has boosted market confidence in large financial sectors, indicating that current market sentiment is very sensitive to favorable news. Although the index has fluctuated repeatedly recently, Oriental Wealth has...
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Wall_E
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$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $SSE Composite Index (000001.SH)$
Important News
1. The central bank officially launches share buyback and shareholding refinancing, with an initial quota of 300 billion yuan, an interest rate of 1.75%, and a term of 1 year.
2. The central bank officially initiates SFISF operations as of today, with 20 companies approved to participate in the swap facility operations, and the initial application quota has exceeded 200 billion yuan.
3. Pan Gongsheng: The swap facility is not direct funding support from the central bank; it is a bottom line that credit funds cannot illegally enter the stock market; I will selectively further lower the deposit reserve ratio by 0.25-0.5 percentage points; it is expected that the LPR on the 21st will also decrease by 0.2-0.25 percentage points.
4. China Securities Regulatory Commission Chairman Wu Qing: Allow legal and compliant shareholding reduction, but firmly crack down on violations and circumvention of shareholding.
5. Sheng Laiyun: The next stage CPI will moderately rise, and the decline in PPI will narrow.
6. National Bureau of Statistics: It is a high probability event that the economy will stabilize and rebound in the fourth quarter, and confidence in achieving the expected target of around 5% this year is increasing.
7. National Bureau of Statistics: Optimistic attitude towards the later real estate market, with new housing transaction volume during the National Day Golden Week increasing by 102% year-on-year, and second-hand housing transaction volume increasing by 105% year-on-year.
8. National Bureau of Statistics: GDP grew by 4.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters; It grew by 4.6% in the third quarter, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9%.
In September, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 5.4% year-on-year, ...
Important News
1. The central bank officially launches share buyback and shareholding refinancing, with an initial quota of 300 billion yuan, an interest rate of 1.75%, and a term of 1 year.
2. The central bank officially initiates SFISF operations as of today, with 20 companies approved to participate in the swap facility operations, and the initial application quota has exceeded 200 billion yuan.
3. Pan Gongsheng: The swap facility is not direct funding support from the central bank; it is a bottom line that credit funds cannot illegally enter the stock market; I will selectively further lower the deposit reserve ratio by 0.25-0.5 percentage points; it is expected that the LPR on the 21st will also decrease by 0.2-0.25 percentage points.
4. China Securities Regulatory Commission Chairman Wu Qing: Allow legal and compliant shareholding reduction, but firmly crack down on violations and circumvention of shareholding.
5. Sheng Laiyun: The next stage CPI will moderately rise, and the decline in PPI will narrow.
6. National Bureau of Statistics: It is a high probability event that the economy will stabilize and rebound in the fourth quarter, and confidence in achieving the expected target of around 5% this year is increasing.
7. National Bureau of Statistics: Optimistic attitude towards the later real estate market, with new housing transaction volume during the National Day Golden Week increasing by 102% year-on-year, and second-hand housing transaction volume increasing by 105% year-on-year.
8. National Bureau of Statistics: GDP grew by 4.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters; It grew by 4.6% in the third quarter, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9%.
In September, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 5.4% year-on-year, ...
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I. Trending Sectors
On Friday afternoon, A-shares also made people experience the feeling of a bull returning quickly. Like a bull trapped in the 3087 gap. Once the mud loosens, poof! Running wild without stopping, the cornerback pointed directly at the target of 3261.56.
At one point, GEM surged more than 10%. Although there was a correction at the end of the session, it still surged and closed throughout the day. The volume of energy also reached 2 trillion in one fell swoop. Obviously, incremental capital was used, but it is expected that there will still be a rebound today. The direction is still autonomous and controllable. The segment is semiconductors, and there are quite a few people who are popular on the weekend. They should have a good premium. In the early stages, they were mainly National Technology, SMIC, Jiejie Microelectronics, Shanghai Beiling, etc., but now they have sufficient capacity. Other technology branches of consumer electronics, Hongmeng, and robots also have rotation opportunities.
II. Shareholding analysis
National Technology SZ300077:
$Nations Technologies Inc. (300077.SZ)$
Automobile chip+cybersecurity+MCU chip+mobile payment, analyzed many times earlier, as the core leader in semiconductors did not end that quickly. It opened 4.07% lower on Friday, and directly weakened and strengthened after stepping back, which clearly strengthened the characteristics. The stock began to change on Thursday due to the G-concept of cybersecurity. The semiconductor rebound on Friday immediately strengthened. The logic is simple. The technology rebound must have been dominated by highly recognizable leaders, Jiejie Microelectronics, SMIC, and National Technology, here...
On Friday afternoon, A-shares also made people experience the feeling of a bull returning quickly. Like a bull trapped in the 3087 gap. Once the mud loosens, poof! Running wild without stopping, the cornerback pointed directly at the target of 3261.56.
At one point, GEM surged more than 10%. Although there was a correction at the end of the session, it still surged and closed throughout the day. The volume of energy also reached 2 trillion in one fell swoop. Obviously, incremental capital was used, but it is expected that there will still be a rebound today. The direction is still autonomous and controllable. The segment is semiconductors, and there are quite a few people who are popular on the weekend. They should have a good premium. In the early stages, they were mainly National Technology, SMIC, Jiejie Microelectronics, Shanghai Beiling, etc., but now they have sufficient capacity. Other technology branches of consumer electronics, Hongmeng, and robots also have rotation opportunities.
II. Shareholding analysis
National Technology SZ300077:
$Nations Technologies Inc. (300077.SZ)$
Automobile chip+cybersecurity+MCU chip+mobile payment, analyzed many times earlier, as the core leader in semiconductors did not end that quickly. It opened 4.07% lower on Friday, and directly weakened and strengthened after stepping back, which clearly strengthened the characteristics. The stock began to change on Thursday due to the G-concept of cybersecurity. The semiconductor rebound on Friday immediately strengthened. The logic is simple. The technology rebound must have been dominated by highly recognizable leaders, Jiejie Microelectronics, SMIC, and National Technology, here...
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