Brainard apparently gave a pretty effective vaccine to the markets considering how markets did not have any big moves upon minutes release.
IMO FED minutes was clearly indicating a very un accomodative and hawkish fed whos primary focus is on inflation. A FED that clearly wanted to warn markets of potential headwinds and the potential hard landing as a result of their actions which they are clearly willing to take despite the risks.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$
IMO FED minutes was clearly indicating a very un accomodative and hawkish fed whos primary focus is on inflation. A FED that clearly wanted to warn markets of potential headwinds and the potential hard landing as a result of their actions which they are clearly willing to take despite the risks.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$
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Key economic release : Tuesday - ISM non manufacturing PMI (10:00 ET) , Wednesday Crude inventories (10:30 ET) FOMC minutes release and Thursday Jobless Claims (08:30 ET)
Inversion of 2 and 10 year yield is deepening which can further weigh on investors sentiment. But do notice high yield credit spread and the 3month and 10 year spread which tends to tell us the short term outlook of a the bond market indicates a relatively healthy ...
Inversion of 2 and 10 year yield is deepening which can further weigh on investors sentiment. But do notice high yield credit spread and the 3month and 10 year spread which tends to tell us the short term outlook of a the bond market indicates a relatively healthy ...
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Yield curve briefly inverted however many experts do not see recession this time along. Goldman Sachs model predicts a 0 percent probability of recession for this year but a 30%+ chance of one next year. Eurozone recession is very likely though so do expect volatility to remain high throughout the year!
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
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My crystal ball is telling me today is the day we might finally start to see the long awaited for pullback
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
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Yield inversions may have predicted past recessions but is this time different?
Well one argument is that for all previous inversions the long end of the curve usually didn't have such sharp of a rise infact tended to decline. Further adding to the uniqueness of this years inversion is the short end of the curve, the correlation between 3month to 10year and 2year to 10 year hasn't been so wide in previous inversions.
Another argument comes from the 10 year havi...
Well one argument is that for all previous inversions the long end of the curve usually didn't have such sharp of a rise infact tended to decline. Further adding to the uniqueness of this years inversion is the short end of the curve, the correlation between 3month to 10year and 2year to 10 year hasn't been so wide in previous inversions.
Another argument comes from the 10 year havi...
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TSLA stock split sure rally justified but AAPL potentially cuts IPhone SE production by 20% ~ 2 - 3 million units and still rallies? Well considering they sell a couple hundred million units sure that may not affect its revenues by a lot but still considering the amount of uncertainties in the markets and the economy, 10 straight days of green!? I don't think even the Bulls saw that coming .
So the only explanation I really have for this rally is simply the fact that money from...
So the only explanation I really have for this rally is simply the fact that money from...
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Key Economic Release
*Just noticed it missing PCE release and Average Hourly Earnings release on Thursday and Friday respectively*
Commodity prices still in play. Even though there is not much correlation between oil and S&P historically speaking but if Crude were to break key levels like $120 i expect to see markets move towards the downside. Pay attention to Opec+ meeting on March 21st. Some experts are predicting no change in output pr...
*Just noticed it missing PCE release and Average Hourly Earnings release on Thursday and Friday respectively*
Commodity prices still in play. Even though there is not much correlation between oil and S&P historically speaking but if Crude were to break key levels like $120 i expect to see markets move towards the downside. Pay attention to Opec+ meeting on March 21st. Some experts are predicting no change in output pr...
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These sudden spikes at 8am ET pre market are not tradable. So you can't see these bids and offer on L2 (level 2 data) either. They are created simply due to an internal clearing process by market makers and are from transactions that happened the previous day.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
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