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News
`Unicorn' Soft Landing Possible If Fed Cuts Gradually, Principal Asset Management Says
Principal Asset Management's Seema Shah says the US could see a "unicorn soft landing" if the Federal Reserve delivers gradual rate-cuts starting in September. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, she adds that in that scenario "risk assets can do fairly well."
This is the United States in 1971, with comprehensive 10% tariffs, depreciation of the US dollar against gold, and pressure on the appreciation of the German and Japanese currencies... This caused a great market turbulence around the world afterward.
As the probability of Trump's victory increases, his policy proposals have also attracted attention, especially the two weapons of "devaluation of the dollar" and "raising tariffs".
Silicon Valley 'Quite Happy' With JD Vance as Trump's Running Mate: VP Bank CIO
Felix Brill, CIO of VP Bank, discusses the 'Trump trade' effect and also says "some guys in Silicon Valley are quite happy" about Donald Trump's pick of Senator JD Vance as his running mate in the 2024 presidential race.
U.S. Yield Curve Steepens on Rising Odds of Trump Presidency
0609 GMT - The U.S. Treasury yield curve is steepening, primarily led by the long end, as chances for a Donald Trump presidency spike, putting fiscal concerns high on the market's agenda Hauke
MetalsFocus: The US dollar is expected to continue to remain strong, and precious metals prices may retreat moderately during the summer.
MetalsFocus pointed out that due to the interest rate differential still benefiting the US dollar, the US dollar is expected to continue to remain strong in the near future. In addition, considering the relatively fast rise in precious metal prices over the past three months, precious metal prices may experience a moderate pullback during the summer.
Five Things to Know About J.D. Vance, Trump's VP Pick
J.D. Vance is Donald Trump's pick for vice president, the former president announced on Monday afternoon. The senator, who became famous for "Hillbilly Elegy," a memoir about his hometown of Middletown, Ohio, has since blazed a political path for himself as a staunch conservative and Trump ally.
Comments
US Stock Market Review 8 – 12 July 2024
$Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$+1.59%
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ 0.87%
$NASDAQ(NASDAQ.US$ +0.25%
Analysist bets that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September as the price index (CPI) was reported lower than the expectation
Event to watch: 16 July US retail sale US core retail sales, 17 July US Crude oil inventory, 18 July US Philadelphia Fed Man...
$Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$+1.59%
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ 0.87%
$NASDAQ(NASDAQ.US$ +0.25%
Analysist bets that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September as the price index (CPI) was reported lower than the expectation
Event to watch: 16 July US retail sale US core retail sales, 17 July US Crude oil inventory, 18 July US Philadelphia Fed Man...
3
While the “anti-inflation” report appears perfect, the reality of the “rate cut trade” might not be as expected.
Firstly, post-pandemic inflation seasonal factors may exaggerate the slowdown in core inflation.
Secondly, oil, cars, and housing—three main factors slowing inflation—do not reflect weakened demand.
Thirdly, the labor market remains robust, and unfavorable inflation factors will increase monthly.
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF(TQQQ.US$
Firstly, post-pandemic inflation seasonal factors may exaggerate the slowdown in core inflation.
Secondly, oil, cars, and housing—three main factors slowing inflation—do not reflect weakened demand.
Thirdly, the labor market remains robust, and unfavorable inflation factors will increase monthly.
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF(TQQQ.US$
During the US election process, if Trump gains the upper hand, the US Treasury yield curve is expected to steepen. Markets believe that Trump’s potential presidency would lead to higher US inflation and increased government fiscal deficits, resulting in rising long-term interest rates.
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index(.VIX.US$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF(TQQQ.US$
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index(.VIX.US$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF(TQQQ.US$
2
Goldman Sachs argues that the Fed will soon begin cutting rates. The market almost fully expects a rate cut in September, which remains Goldman’s base case, but they believe there is sufficient reason for a cut as early as the July meeting. Goldman presents three main reasons for this:
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Firstly, if the reason for cutting rates is clear, why wait seven weeks to implement it?
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Secondly, monthly inflation fluctuations can be signi...
2
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