Commodities Wavering with Crude
I have a watchlist that I have compiled over time with solid commodity related tickers that are very liquid and easily tradable as they follow trends and technical patterns. Commodities had a rough week last week similar to the previous week. Below are the only commodity related tickers that were green on this list for last week. And the top of the list are inverse leveraged shares for Nat gas and Oil. Oil has been dropping hard the past two weeks as many countries central banks and organizations across the world are calling for slowing growth globally. This is bearish for oil demand as oil is needed in nearly every aspect of GDP growth in one form or another. This could very well be the reason for the falling commodity prices after such a massive rally to these highs.
Its interesting to see that low priced meme stock in the mining sector perform well last week. $Hycroft Mining (HYMC.US)$
Many have called for the peak in inflation including many big banks across the world. But some still see inflation rising in many regions. Oil is a big driver in inflation. As you can see in the chart below Crude prices broke out above of a short term price channel hear the recent highs but could not climb high enough. Since then Crude prices have fallen pretty sharply and are resting near some valid support levels. Was the recent peak the top in crude prices? Or will we make new highs?
$SPDR道琼斯指数ETF (DIA.US)$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF (SPY.US)$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR黄金ETF (GLD.US)$ $VIX指数主连(2412) (VXmain.US)$ $埃克森美孚 (XOM.US)$ $雪佛龙 (CVX.US)$ $康菲石油 (COP.US)$ $英国石油 (BP.US)$ $Imperial Petroleum (IMPP.US)$ $休斯敦能源 (HUSA.US)$ $Mexco Energy (MXC.US)$ $Indonesia Energy (INDO.US)$ $瓦莱罗能源 (VLO.US)$ $戴文能源 (DVN.US)$
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SpyderCall 楼主 : 你认为那是巅峰吗 @iamiam?
iamiam SpyderCall 楼主 : 暂时高峰是的,你没有提供这样的选择 石油将跌至100(触及108的速度比我想象的要快得多,我不得不迅速下班调动库存,星期一是白天)在重新测试灯芯跌至94之前,我预计会出现不错的反弹,蜡烛价格为96-98ish。那时资金将再次支撑它。问题在于,你不能让他们按产能生产的石油更便宜(某些石油衍生品变得稀缺*比如DEF,因为它们必须生产需求旺盛的产品,主要是与汽油有关)。因此,如果石油更便宜,生产商只会堆积起来,那时你最终会得到石油废物和7美元的汽油。石油将触及150。今年?也许。明年是的。*DEF 是政府规定的柴油添加剂,可使您的发动机符合环保要求。-不含柴油添加剂,油箱中不含柴油...
SpyderCall 楼主 iamiam : 在过去的几周里,大多数预测的高估值并未发生变化。他们仍在预测石油将出现更高的峰值。
Dons hobby : 你今天在看什么 Spyder。
我还有大约 3500 IMPP
100 RDBX
2000 ANPC
50 BAC
只是想知道你的想法是什么兄弟
71535617 iamiam : 仅供参考——DEF与石油价格完全无关。它不是石油衍生物,也不是柴油添加剂。它不会进入柴油箱,甚至从不接触柴油。它喷洒在废气上,将有害排放物转化为无害的氮气和水。
它的稀缺性与石油或石油价格无关。虽然DEF的供应可能很少,但如果有必要,可以很容易地提高产量。DEF 是 32.5% 的尿素(一种肥料)和 67.5% 的去离子水。石油不是原料。当今仍在使用的许多柴油发动机不需要DEF。只有自2010年以来在美国制造的那些才需要它。但是,如果绝对必要,即使是那些较新的车辆也可以被黑客入侵/改装为在没有防御的情况下运行,绕过传感器,安装芯片或设备来欺骗车辆的ECU,即计算机,让他们认为DEF系统在油箱装满的情况下运行良好,或者拆下整个防御系统。
71535617 iamiam : 此外,如果油价更便宜,石油就不会堆积在生产商身上,也不会导致7美元的汽油价格。这将导致汽油价格下降。产油国通常会立即出售石油。它还没出土就已经卖出去了。如果它更便宜,就会更快地被买到。炼油厂会囤积石油,然后付钱储存。
SpyderCall 楼主 71535617 : 有趣的东西。如果你敞开心扉,你可以在任何地方学到一点东西。将在未来牢记这一点。洞察力强