5月8日开始的下周前景
我最近没有每天都发帖。最近我太累了。本周从周三开始又有一些重大事件,然后周四是CPI和PPI。我在去年夏天发布了一篇帖子,预测了这一刻。即美联储和专家声称通胀已经得到了胜利的时刻。我说他们会说“看,通胀正在下降,看看变得更好了多少”……
“党告诉你要拒绝你自己眼睛和耳朵中的证据。这是他们最后、最基本的命令。” 乔治·奥威尔的1984,在1949年发布。
If Friday wasn't a direct admission that they lie, I don't know what else to call it. Employment numbers were revised down by over 10万 jobs!!! But why would a government agency lie about the employment numbers heading into an election cycle??? 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Ok, now that I'm done laughing, let me break it down. The economy is wrecked, there is no soft landing, and there is only future pain. The FED can either try to tame inflation (not possible during DEGLOBALIZATION, if we are going to make our own products the cost of moving manufacturing and supply is increased and is no longer offset by cheaper labor, in other words the US can no longer export inflation). So the FED is left to bring a number down that can not be brought down, not to 2%, not ever. They will not say this until there is no choice (funny how government works that way.) Everything the government wants to change goes from "That's a terrible idea and the people will never accept that" to "The new rules for XYZ have been released by government agency XYZ." THIS IS THE WAY It IS AND YOU HAVE NO CHOICE. your choice was taken away in 1913 and again in 1973. Now, you have no property nor rights and no recourse to an overpowering uncontrolled government. Don't believe me, answer this question: Who do you turn to when the government says you're guilty against it? Who will hear your complaint? Who will decide your fate? What choice do you the individual actually have? Do you have the ability to not comply? I worked managing government grant and loan money, and you are told where that money goes, no matter how corrupt stupid redundant or unnecessary that money is. As an example, I managed a 300-million dollar project that the citizens voted down on 3 separate occasions. It was never passed or approved. Yet it was built at taxpayer expense. Who decided that? the local government did, and what recourse did the people have? none, what are they going to do? Who do they complain to? Their property taxes just go up, and they pay it or go to jail. What a free country we live in. And just so I can dash any hope of it getting better. Taxes are only going up, as the neverending quest for more money continues. As the dollar gets devalued globally (a result of DEGLOBALIZATION, as less and less countries hold dollars in the form of treasuries) the money to sustain the 32万亿 dollars of debt must increasingly come from the US citizenship. Once again, another real reason for an open border, the US needs workers (we've become too arrogant to work labor/service jobs) and an increased tax base (they WILL NOt TAX THE RICH, EVER, PERIOD, THE END, any politician claiming they will lies. they've said it for 70 years and never done it, Biden even gave them tax breaks by reinstating SALT). This is the future, and it is bleak and certain. Get what you can, while you can before there is nothing left. This leads me to my other plea, grow your own food, if you can do nothing else, find a way to grow your own food, or join a food co-op. These are great communities of growers trading and selling their goods between each other... Get a duel citizenship if you're an American citizen. The US won't honor it, but who cares? You need options to go to when the US locks down. "But iam the US could never lock citizens in" again who's going to challenge them, and during covid they did, and you were all on board with it. All they have to do is declare another emergency. Maybe we can't fly because of climate change? who knows how they will do it? Just know they will do it. America is a giant penal colony. You just haven't realized it yet. There's a warden with prison guards and they use the prisoners to keep the rest of the prisoners in line. America never stopped being a slave colony, when we vote we are presented two options that keep us a slave colony.
好了,叽叽喳喳的够了,现在是 RALLY 的时候。
但是我们会有一个小幅回调来参与这次的上涨吗?
我们要么走平,等待移动平均线和布林带赶上来,要么跌到13230区间。不管怎么回调,13400+是下一个上行目标,最终达到13500+
$纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ 上涨趋势的顶部目标是330,这将在MACD上形成第三次看空背离。
首先,我们应该通过交易走平或小幅下跌来降温,然后再恢复上涨趋势...总的来说,我看淡,这是在熊市中的一个强烈的反趋势。它始于十月,应该在330左右结束。
在这次的上涨中,有一些股票正在准备起飞。
特斯拉突破了下降趋势线,应该向50MA(绿色MA线)推动,并填补近182的缺口。
反弹至底部,应该有强劲的推动回到50MA(绿色MA)。
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 日线上出现了看淡的背离,因此有失败的可能性。但在那之前,它应该回调到220区间以保持支撑后再度上涨。我们有可能一直跑到300。
在纳斯达克恢复上涨之前,我们可能会见到回调。
当前VIX正在反弹。我预计会出现类似4/25的情况,VIX会出现暴涨,然后随着市场的反弹而回落。
现在是天然气的季节!明年的累积应该很快开始,同时也应该开始使用肥料。
肥料
这将是一次惊险之旅,周三我们能够达到330点吗?还是市场在周三回落之后再次升起?市场的走势取决于市场本身,直到突破支撑位为止。这是一个买入机会,但要小心,因为这可能是最后一次上涨之前的暴跌。
保持安全,小心谨慎,保持明智。
一如既往地
祝好运
我从我的女童军饼干中得到了一些信心。
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iamiam 楼主 Mooooney : 我说有看跌的分歧,顶部可能会出现,我一直预计它会完成上涨至330的序列,我不知道会不会但预计会如此。市场正处于顶峰周期。tqqq很快就会达到顶峰,sqqq有未来上涨空间。涨势还差一点。市场已经攀升了一个多月。它需要增加流动性才能下跌,没有人知道这需要多长时间。
TinkerB3ll : 你在哪里看到 UNG 的底部?:)
iamiam 楼主 TinkerB3ll : 这里,也许它会跌至 6 以下,但这是我的买入区间
icezzz : 谢谢和我们分享... 很多信息需要消化
TinkerB3ll iamiam 楼主 : 谢谢你最好:)
102235596 : 非常感谢您分享您的分析!我们对此表示赞赏。
我同样认为 QQQ 在短期内会有更多的下行空间 —— 本周晚些时候/下周 —— 你会说这是它大幅下跌的时候吗?或者可能会再延长 2-3 个月
iamiam 楼主 102235596 : 看来很多人都期望它会一直持续到夏天。我想还早。但我能看出来我们可能会在夏天之前保持在 300 上方然后失败。突破支撑位填补了 309 和 301 的缺口然后停滞不前。这取决于 cpi/ppi 怎么说。如果我们能在接下来的 2 天内达到 330 我相信之后我们会大幅下跌
Seraphicall iamiam 楼主 : 你的分析很好
iamiam 楼主 Seraphicall : 谢谢
Ben 23 iamiam 楼主 : 你现在是持空头头寸 SQQQ 还是在等待市场对本周的消费者价格指数业绩做出决定。感谢您的技术分析,看来您手头有一个水晶球可以告诉您市场走势如何。
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