Taking a bearish position can indeed reveal its allure over time.
In the US stock market, declines often happen swiftly while recoveries are gradual, especially in sectors with intact fundamentals, driven merely by market panic or short-term selling.
When you identify the sources of risk and decide to go into cash, it doesn't take long before the market completes a retracement of several months' worth of gains in just a few days or weeks. As panic subsides, that golden opportunity arises, which serves as the source of future profits.
The timing for going into cash and waiting isn't prolonged. However, all of this is contingent upon strong industry and sector developments.
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Mr Careful : 如果你不进行日内交易,囤积现金,购买债券是正确的做法。在接下来的几个月里,我对这个市场并不满意。沃伦不断增加的现金储备预示着事情的到来
Btan : 是时候让美国股市抛售了。真的超买
103353263 Mr Careful : 美国的债券不太好。美国仍然拥有大量资金供其债券持有人约数万亿美元
103353263 Btan : 你觉得泡沫什么时候会破裂?
Mr Careful 103353263 : 别太担心。他们可以印钱来偿还债务
103353263 Mr Careful : 这将是很大的杠杆率,而印钞将导致高通胀,在此之前他们负担不起偿还债务
Mr Careful 103353263 : 别担心。只要制造一场重大战争(例如台湾战争)就能再次解决问题
103353263 Mr Careful : 问题是每个人都大量放弃美国债券
Mr Careful 103353263 : 不可能。当战争爆发时,美元和债券会上涨
Btan Mr Careful : 哈哈我同意。
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