股价终于成功突破周线级别的长期反压线
对冲基金的最经典的两种投资策略是“短置”（shortselling）和“贷杠”（leverage)。
操作一个对冲基金能最大程度地测试一个人的生存技巧：当事情进展顺利的时候，使用“贷杠”能够产生很好的结果，但是事情不如你所料的时候，它可能使你一败涂地。最困难的事情是如何判断风险水平。没有普遍的标准，对每一种情况都要根据它自己的利弊来判断。在最后的分析中，你必须依靠你的生存本能。
1974年的一天，索罗斯正在和一位朋友打网球，这时，电话响了。电话是东京的经纪人打来的，他告诉索罗斯一个秘密：这一年，美国总统理查德，尼克松深陷水门事件，这最终会导致他下台。他打电话就是要让索罗斯知道，日本对尼克松的丑闻反应很糟糕。索罗斯在日本股市上是大头，他必须决定是保持现状还是退出。他的网球伙伴注意到，此时的索罗斯额头上出现豆大的汗珠，而在訂的比赛中并没有出现这种情况。索罗斯当机立断，决定抛盘。没有任何的犹豫，也没有觉得在做出这个重大的决定前，需要咨询一下。索罗斯在不足一秒的时间内做了这样的决定。艾伦，拉斐尔（Allan Raphael）曾在20世纪80年代与索罗斯共事。他说索罗斯的坚毅对他帮助很大，而投资者一般不具备这种特质。你用一只手就能数过来，当索罗斯犯错的时候，他会坦白地承认“我错了”，然而坚持错误，那么它会将你侵蚀殆尽。你所做的就是想着“在消磨着你”。你完全不能将你的视线移开。如果这是一个很容易的工作的话，那么可能人人都在做这件事。这要求有极大的自制力、自信，最根本的一点就是不要带有感情。但是，这并不容做到，甚至非常难。
The two most classic investment strategies of hedge funds are "shortselling" and "leverage". Operating a hedge fund can test a person's survival skills to the greatest extent: when things are going well, using "loan levers" can produce good results, but when things are not as you expected, it may make you fail. The most difficult thing is how to judge the level of risk. There is no universal standard, and each situation must be judged according to its own pros and cons. In the final analysis, you must rely on your survival instinct.
One day in 1974, Soros was playing tennis with a friend, when the phone rang. The call was made by an agent in Tokyo. He told Soros a secret: This year, US President Richard and Nixon were deeply involved in the Watergate Incident, which would eventually lead to his resignation. He called to let Soros know that Japan reacted badly to Nixon’s scandal. Soros is a major player in the Japanese stock market, and he must decide whether to maintain the status quo or exit. His tennis partner noticed that big beads of sweat appeared on Soros' forehead at this time, which did not happen in the scheduled game. Soros made a decisive decision and decided to sell. There is no hesitation, nor do I feel that I need to consult before making this important decision. Soros made such a decision in less than a second. Allan, Raphael (Allan Raphael) worked with Soros in the 1980s. He said that Soros' perseverance helped him a lot, and investors generally don't have this quality. You can count it with one hand. When Soros makes a mistake, he will frankly admit that "I was wrong", but insist on the mistake, then it will erode you. All you do is think "killing you". You can't take your eyes away at all. If this is an easy job, then maybe everyone is doing it. This requires great self-control, self-confidence, and the most fundamental point is not to be emotional. However, this cannot be done, and it is even very difficult.
1974年的一天，索罗斯正在和一位朋友打网球，这时，电话响了。电话是东京的经纪人打来的，他告诉索罗斯一个秘密：这一年，美国总统理查德，尼克松深陷水门事件，这最终会导致他下台。他打电话就是要让索罗斯知道，日本对尼克松的丑闻反应很糟糕。索罗斯在日本股市上是大头，他必须决定是保持现状还是退出。他的网球伙伴注意到，此时的索罗斯额头上出现豆大的汗珠，而在訂的比赛中并没有出现这种情况。索罗斯当机立断，决定抛盘。没有任何的犹豫，也没有觉得在做出这个重大的决定前，需要咨询一下。索罗斯在不足一秒的时间内做了这样的决定。艾伦，拉斐尔（Allan Raphael）曾在20世纪80年代与索罗斯共事。他说索罗斯的坚毅对他帮助很大，而投资者一般不具备这种特质。你用一只手就能数过来，当索罗斯犯错的时候，他会坦白地承认“我错了”，然而坚持错误，那么它会将你侵蚀殆尽。你所做的就是想着“在消磨着你”。你完全不能将你的视线移开。如果这是一个很容易的工作的话，那么可能人人都在做这件事。这要求有极大的自制力、自信，最根本的一点就是不要带有感情。但是，这并不容做到，甚至非常难。
The two most classic investment strategies of hedge funds are "shortselling" and "leverage". Operating a hedge fund can test a person's survival skills to the greatest extent: when things are going well, using "loan levers" can produce good results, but when things are not as you expected, it may make you fail. The most difficult thing is how to judge the level of risk. There is no universal standard, and each situation must be judged according to its own pros and cons. In the final analysis, you must rely on your survival instinct.
One day in 1974, Soros was playing tennis with a friend, when the phone rang. The call was made by an agent in Tokyo. He told Soros a secret: This year, US President Richard and Nixon were deeply involved in the Watergate Incident, which would eventually lead to his resignation. He called to let Soros know that Japan reacted badly to Nixon’s scandal. Soros is a major player in the Japanese stock market, and he must decide whether to maintain the status quo or exit. His tennis partner noticed that big beads of sweat appeared on Soros' forehead at this time, which did not happen in the scheduled game. Soros made a decisive decision and decided to sell. There is no hesitation, nor do I feel that I need to consult before making this important decision. Soros made such a decision in less than a second. Allan, Raphael (Allan Raphael) worked with Soros in the 1980s. He said that Soros' perseverance helped him a lot, and investors generally don't have this quality. You can count it with one hand. When Soros makes a mistake, he will frankly admit that "I was wrong", but insist on the mistake, then it will erode you. All you do is think "killing you". You can't take your eyes away at all. If this is an easy job, then maybe everyone is doing it. This requires great self-control, self-confidence, and the most fundamental point is not to be emotional. However, this cannot be done, and it is even very difficult.
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