As I venture into investing, I'm diligently conducting research. One source suggests a promising 5+ years ahead, while another predicts a potential collapse starting in 2024. Should the market crash, I wonder if others have begun investing during such downturns. What are some secure companies or sectors suitable for someone new to investing, seeking a cautious approach amidst varying speculations about the market's direction? $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
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由于外国需求暴跌,30年期灾难性拍卖停止后,股市暴跌,收益率飙升,创有记录以来最大跌幅
$纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
$纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
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![图片](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/70887609/7fbf8f2349223381b28ae93629a90b57.jpg/thumb)
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一些背景:自鲍威尔发布新闻以来,10年期实际收益率的下降意义重大,但这并不是历史性的或特殊的。自去年年初徒步周期开始以来,截至目前,按基点计算,每天又有10次跌幅。
$道琼斯指数(.DJI.US$ $纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US$ $标普500指数(.SPX.US$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
$道琼斯指数(.DJI.US$ $纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US$ $标普500指数(.SPX.US$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
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![图片](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/70887609/597230cae06737c382aaa67f555fc3ae.png/thumb)
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The $标普500指数(.SPX.US$ equal weighted index is now down almost 3% this year.
Just 3 months ago, the S&P 500 equal weighted index was up 10%.
It’s set to break below the March regional banking crisis lows this month.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up 8% this year erasing more than half of its gain.
All as the S&P 7, the largest tech stocks, continues to fall sharply.
The collapse of tech stocks would mean the collapse of the market.
Tech stocks are the market.
Just 3 months ago, the S&P 500 equal weighted index was up 10%.
It’s set to break below the March regional banking crisis lows this month.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up 8% this year erasing more than half of its gain.
All as the S&P 7, the largest tech stocks, continues to fall sharply.
The collapse of tech stocks would mean the collapse of the market.
Tech stocks are the market.
![图片](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/70887609/50f68c00cbb63d10a4f87876b38bc111.jpg/thumb)
大多数 2022 年的空头已经破产,从 1 月份的谷底开始做空 QQQ、SPY,尤其是 NVDA,或者最终转为牛市。事情似乎还不错... 好吧,收益还不错,而且大多数人预计市场不会走低。
多头做多,杠杆作用很大,逢低买入是每个人的默认操作模式。
所有人都说十月一直是谷底,而11月/12月是神奇的反弹月份。
我不知道...
多头做多,杠杆作用很大,逢低买入是每个人的默认操作模式。
所有人都说十月一直是谷底,而11月/12月是神奇的反弹月份。
我不知道...
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“是的,你们的市场看起来非常健康!”
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![图片](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/70887609/9bcf5042ed9a30e3b4371a51e2dceaeb.png/thumb)
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Chart shows the response of the PCE and PCE durables price indices in the 36 months following a shock to the fraction of idled workers due to work stoppages. The shock is of a magnitude reflecting 25,000 UAW workers striking during September 2023, and reflects an increase in the fraction of worker-days idled due to work stoppages beyond what would be predicted by the last 12 months of inflation, wage growth, industrial production growth, and worke...
![Work Stoppages Have an Uncertain Effect on Prices](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/70887609/adcbff2a9b2235a9ba38ce074c8575f7.png/thumb)
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1860: $9.59
1870: $3.86
1880: $0.94
1890: $0.77
1900: $1.19
1910: $0.61
1920: $3.07
1930: $1.19
1940: $1.02
1950: $2.51
1960: $2.88
1970: $3.18
1980: $21.59
1990: $20.03
2000: $26.72
2010: $74.71
2020: $36.86
2023: $88.59
$纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US$ $道琼斯指数(.DJI.US$ $标普500指数(.SPX.US$
1870: $3.86
1880: $0.94
1890: $0.77
1900: $1.19
1910: $0.61
1920: $3.07
1930: $1.19
1940: $1.02
1950: $2.51
1960: $2.88
1970: $3.18
1980: $21.59
1990: $20.03
2000: $26.72
2010: $74.71
2020: $36.86
2023: $88.59
$纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC.US$ $道琼斯指数(.DJI.US$ $标普500指数(.SPX.US$
Thursday's US CPI inflation report suggests a November pause, but increases the odds of a later hike.
As of Friday morning, financial markets see a 91% chance of the Fed holding rates at current levels in November.
For December, they are pricing in a more divided 67% chance for a pause and a 33% chance of a rate increase.
What will the Fed do amid persistently high inflation? $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
As of Friday morning, financial markets see a 91% chance of the Fed holding rates at current levels in November.
For December, they are pricing in a more divided 67% chance for a pause and a 33% chance of a rate increase.
What will the Fed do amid persistently high inflation? $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ $SPDR 标普500指数ETF(SPY.US$
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You may remember me from my prior rare post on the debt ceiling increase, which turned out to be shockingly accurate.
1. Oil prices
Upward pressure on oil, but not as much as people are making it sound. Oil already had an uptick due to supply changes -- supply and demand announcements will still control prices for oil, not this conflict.
2. Inflation
Upward pressure...
1. Oil prices
Upward pressure on oil, but not as much as people are making it sound. Oil already had an uptick due to supply changes -- supply and demand announcements will still control prices for oil, not this conflict.
2. Inflation
Upward pressure...