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Trading Waltz 保密 ID: 71148573
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    Wholesale prices posted an unexpected decline in February, providing some encouraging news on inflation as the Federal Reserve weighs its next move on interest rates.
    The producer price index fell 0.1% for the month, against the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.3% increase and compared to a 0.3% gain in January. On a 12-month basis, the index increased 4.6%, well below the downwardly revised 5.7% level from the previous mon...
    Wholesale prices post unexpected decline of 0.1% in February; retail sales fall
    ✅ 收入 +8% Y/Y 到 23.5亿美元
    (0.2B 美元 击败)。
    ✅ 非公认会计准则每股收益 0.99 美元
    (0.20 美元 击败)。
    ❌ 媒体无利可图:
    无法想象迪士尼会拍这么多好电影... 但无法从中获利 😂
    ❌ 裁员和削减预算:
    -解雇 7,000 名员工并裁员 5.5 亿美元 在成本上。
    -这里是第 22 个问题:他们需要削减开支。但同时,如果它们进行修剪,它们就无法生长。
    ❌ 分红:
    在业务部门和现金流尚未稳定的情况下重新引入分红似乎令人困惑...
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    • Rev +9% Y/Y to $149.2B ($3.4B beat).
    • Operating margin 2% (-2pp Y/Y).
    • Non-GAAP EPS $0.03 ($0.14 miss).
    AWS:
    • Revenue +20% Y/Y to $21.4B.
    • Operating margin 24% (-6pp Y/Y).
    Q1 FY23 Guidance:
    • Revenue ~$123.5B ($2B miss).
    Thoughts:
    Growth slowdown:
    The economy & recession is causing the business to slowdown, so revenue slowdown is expected. but i would like to see it pickling up again in 6-9 months' time.
    (At such a large size, it's hard to keep growing at such a high pace to...
    Amazon Q4 FY22
    • Rev +1% Y/Y 到 76.0亿美元 (0.4B 美元 小姐)。
    • 营业利润率 24% (-5pp Y/Y)。
    • EPS 1.05 美元 (0.14 美元 击败)。
    优酷广告 -8% 到 8.0B 美元.
    谷歌云:
    • 收入 +32% Y/Y 到 73亿美元.
    • 营业利润率-7% (+10pp Y/Y)。
    2023财年第一季度的重组成本约为26亿美元。
    想法:
    谷歌 $谷歌-A (GOOGL.US)$ 错过了所有估计。😅
    谷歌第四季度的收入仅比上年增长了1%,是该公司历史上第三慢的增长率。
    云是唯一推动业务向前发展的细分市场...
    已翻译
    谷歌 22 财年第 4 季度
    • Revenue -5% Y/Y to $117.2B ($4.5B miss).
    💳 Services +6% Y/Y to $20.8B.
    📱 Products -8% Y/Y to $96.4B.
    • Operating margin 31% (-2pp Y/Y).
    • Operating cash flow margin 29%.
    • EPS $1.88 ($0.07 miss).
    Segments growth in Q1 23:
    - iPhone: -8% YoY
    - Mac: -29% YoY
    - Ipad: +30% YoY
    - Wearables, Home & Accessories: -8% YoY
    - Services: +6% YoY
    Net sales: -5.5%
    Summary:
    ✳️ Apple's fiscal Q1 revenue and EPS miss was the first in at least 20 quarters, if not longer.
    ✳️ However, the business's fu...
    • DAU +5% Y/Y to 2.96B.
    • Rev -4% Y/Y to $32.2B ($0.5B beat).
    • Operating margin 20% (-17pp Y/Y).
    • FCF margin 16% (-21pp Y/Y).
    • EPS $1.76 ($0.48 miss).
    Q1 FY23 guidance:
    • Revenue ~$27.3B (in-line).
    Why the stock jump up 18%? 🤔
    ✳️ $40B Shares buyback
    ✳️ 11,000 lay offs
    Sometimes when the stock declines too much and is oversold, the rebound rally will be significant too.
    $Meta Platforms (META.US)$
    • 营业收入 +16% Y/Y to $5.6B ($80M beat).
    • 毛利率 43% (-7个百分点 同比增长4%).
    • 营业利润率(, indicating higher cost-effectiveness in stock investment. ) (-28pp 同比增长4%).
    • Non-GAAP EPS 0.69美元 ($0.02 beat).
    Q1 FY23指南:
    • 营业收入 ~$5.3B ($0.2B (错过)。
    ✳️ AMD $美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$ 在上下方面都超越预期
    ✳️ 主机和数据中心取得了良好的成绩
    ✅ 对于一家半导体公司来说,AMD相对多元化,考虑到整体经济环境,季度表现不错
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    -第四季度非公认会计准则每股收益 1.14 美元 高于0.10美元。
    -收入为美元24.3B (+1.9% Y/Y) 亏损了1亿美元。
    2023 年指南:
    -修正值为670亿美元至710亿美元,而市场普遍预期为742.3亿美元
    -调整后的摊薄每股收益为3.25美元至3.45美元,而市场普遍预期为4.38美元
    由于今年年初有大量政府供应,COVID-19 产品的收入在 2023 年达到低点后,预计将在 2024 年增长。
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    Maintain price:
    ➡️ Lose market share
    Increase price:
    ➡️ Lose more mrkt share, lose EV tax credit
    Lower price:
    ➡️ Thin margins gets thinner: Lose even more money per car
    Most automotive companies are caught between a rock and a hard place right now.
    Wouldn't want to be in their shoes 😂
    $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$
    Over the weekend, I was considering taking profits on tranches I entered at $130 & $150.
    I didn’t lose faith in Tesla $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$, fundamentals still remain strong.
    I am selling partial shares to simply reduce my overall allocation down to 50%.
    Tesla is still by far my biggest holdings 💪💪
    Also, tesla is very overbought right now. anticipating at least a slight pullback soon.
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