Captain Rat
赞了
拉斐尔·波斯蒂克是亚特兰大联邦储备银行的总裁兼首席执行官，他在周五晚上发表讲话。亚洲时段我在这里注意到他讲话的时间很晚，并表达了希望他不会说太多重要的话...好吧，他确实做到了!
他现在预计2024年只会降息25个基点，而不是之前预计的两次降息，并且他预计这次单次降息将在今年晚些时候进行。他说他对比去年12月对通胀将继续下降这一点的信心“明显不足”...
他现在预计2024年只会降息25个基点，而不是之前预计的两次降息，并且他预计这次单次降息将在今年晚些时候进行。他说他对比去年12月对通胀将继续下降这一点的信心“明显不足”...
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Captain Rat
参与了投票
$Zscaler (ZS.US)$
The cybersecurity sector is taking a break from its massive rally. ZS's share price has fallen over 20% from its 52-week highs. Currently, the price sits at a long-term support. Will we see a rebound or a breakdown?
Long-Term Support
Rebound or Breakdown?
What do you think? Will we see a rebound off of support? Or will we see a breakdown below support?
$Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$ $Cloudflare (NET.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ $飞塔信息 (FTNT.US)$ $SentinelOne (S.US)$
...
The cybersecurity sector is taking a break from its massive rally. ZS's share price has fallen over 20% from its 52-week highs. Currently, the price sits at a long-term support. Will we see a rebound or a breakdown?
Long-Term Support
Rebound or Breakdown?
What do you think? Will we see a rebound off of support? Or will we see a breakdown below support?
$Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$ $Cloudflare (NET.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ $飞塔信息 (FTNT.US)$ $SentinelOne (S.US)$
...
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Captain Rat
赞了
CPI inflation may begin to spike again:
The NFIB survey asks 10,000 firms if they plan to increase selling prices over the next 3 months.
Over the last 3 months, the number of firms responding "yes" has jumped from 20% to nearly 40%.
As shown in the chart below, this survey is highly correlated with CPI inflation.
With the recent divergence between inflation and this survey, the gap needs to close.
The Fed won't like this.
$SPDR 标普500指数ETF (SPY.US)$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
The NFIB survey asks 10,000 firms if they plan to increase selling prices over the next 3 months.
Over the last 3 months, the number of firms responding "yes" has jumped from 20% to nearly 40%.
As shown in the chart below, this survey is highly correlated with CPI inflation.
With the recent divergence between inflation and this survey, the gap needs to close.
The Fed won't like this.
$SPDR 标普500指数ETF (SPY.US)$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
3
Captain Rat
参与了投票
$不动产信托指数ETF-Vanguard (VNQ.US)$
潜在反弹
看起来我们正在短期时间框架上看到突破。 VNQ的价格已经上涨到价格走势数周来一直抑制价格行动的价格通道的阻力之上。
我们即将看到反弹吗？还是在看到反弹之前会看到更多整固？如果价格回落到价格通道内并创下新低点，那么反弹前景将会显得更加渺茫...
潜在反弹
看起来我们正在短期时间框架上看到突破。 VNQ的价格已经上涨到价格走势数周来一直抑制价格行动的价格通道的阻力之上。
我们即将看到反弹吗？还是在看到反弹之前会看到更多整固？如果价格回落到价格通道内并创下新低点，那么反弹前景将会显得更加渺茫...
已翻译
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Captain Rat
赞了
在一个牛市中，每次价格下跌都会有买家介入。就像在2022年的熊市中，每次反弹都会有卖家介入。
今天和明天将是对当前牛市的一次良好检验。让我们在周五结束时看看，SPX是否能重新夺回5000点的市场。
温馨提示，星期五是期权到期日。预计会有更高水平的波动性。
回撤然后反弹是看好的。
$3倍做空纳指ETF-ProShares (SQQQ.US)$ $3倍做多纳指ETF-ProShares (TQQQ.US)$ $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ $Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$ $强生 (JNJ.US)$ $迪士尼 (DIS.US)$ $恒生科技指数 (800700.HK)$ $DraftKings (DKNG.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$ $搜狐 (SOHU.US)$ $AT&T (T.US)$ $Unity Software (U.US)$ $德意志银行 (DB.US)$
今天和明天将是对当前牛市的一次良好检验。让我们在周五结束时看看，SPX是否能重新夺回5000点的市场。
温馨提示，星期五是期权到期日。预计会有更高水平的波动性。
回撤然后反弹是看好的。
$3倍做空纳指ETF-ProShares (SQQQ.US)$ $3倍做多纳指ETF-ProShares (TQQQ.US)$ $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ $Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$ $强生 (JNJ.US)$ $迪士尼 (DIS.US)$ $恒生科技指数 (800700.HK)$ $DraftKings (DKNG.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$ $搜狐 (SOHU.US)$ $AT&T (T.US)$ $Unity Software (U.US)$ $德意志银行 (DB.US)$
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7
Captain Rat
参与了投票
一月，SEC批准了11个现货比特币ETF的交易。这一批准使投资者能够通过加密货币获得多样化的投资组合，而无需担心托管的复杂问题。微软首次超过苹果，成为自2021年以来最有价值的公司，这可能主要是由于其对生成AI的投资，包括在chatgpt概念股中的股份。新能源车板块也面临激烈竞争；比亚迪在2023年第四季度超过特斯拉，成为全球最大的纯电动汽车制造商。
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Captain Rat
赞了
$纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$它需要保持在423.53/425.16上方并突破429.85才能延续至433.97/434.84，可能还有436.97/438.58。在该水平之下，我们可以看到这个水平升至416
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6
Captain Rat
赞了
All magnificent 7 closed red yesterday. The average pullback for them is more than 2%. This is quite a rare scene.
Today, we have more big tech reporting their earnings - Apple, Amazon and Meta. If any of them disappoints, this pullback could continue.
But prior to that, the market will continue to digest what Powell has shared yesterday during regular trading hours.
Honestly, to me, a “no rate cut” in March was expected. So let’s see if the market will absorb this news positive...
Today, we have more big tech reporting their earnings - Apple, Amazon and Meta. If any of them disappoints, this pullback could continue.
But prior to that, the market will continue to digest what Powell has shared yesterday during regular trading hours.
Honestly, to me, a “no rate cut” in March was expected. So let’s see if the market will absorb this news positive...
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Captain Rat
赞了
在接下来一个重要的一周里，波动性将恢复。
最近的新闻或事件中有什么影响你对下周股市的预期吗？
$SPDR 标普500指数ETF (SPY.US)$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC.US)$ $道琼斯指数 (.DJI.US)$ $标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$
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