awwenzovs
赞了
除了喜欢卡玛拉的公开集会演讲外,我尽力保持客观和不带偏见的政治观点,作为一个非美国居民,根据定性和定量的“市场信号”来分析谁有可能赢得市场选举:
定量信号
1. 赌博网站-特朗普获胜(因为Polymarket/Betfair/Kalshi/Smarket/Election Betting Odds支持特朗普赢得更多的投注)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/10/17/trumps-polymarket-odds-top-60-how-election-betting-markets-differ-from-polls/
定量信号
1. 赌博网站-特朗普获胜(因为Polymarket/Betfair/Kalshi/Smarket/Election Betting Odds支持特朗普赢得更多的投注)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/10/17/trumps-polymarket-odds-top-60-how-election-betting-markets-differ-from-polls/