The stock market has already priced in bad news from the Russia-Ukraine crisis, and any relief or de-escalation could lead to a 5% rally, according to Morgan Stanley.
They also noted that a return to fundamentals is coming, and that's what investors should be focused on now.
"If we were to get some signs of a de-escalation in Russia/Ukraine tensions, it seems like a quick 5% rally is not out of the question,"analysts led by Mike Wilson wrote it on...
They also noted that a return to fundamentals is coming, and that's what investors should be focused on now.
"If we were to get some signs of a de-escalation in Russia/Ukraine tensions, it seems like a quick 5% rally is not out of the question,"analysts led by Mike Wilson wrote it on...
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专栏 战争时期股市表现如何
最近，俄罗斯与乌克兰的冲突一直是主要市场压力的来源，刺激了主要股市连续数周下跌。
菲利普·费舍尔说：“不用担心在战争期间买入股票。（战争总是会结束，但通常伴随着中央银行的过度行为。纵观历史，局部战争往往是好时期。）
但是，俄罗斯与乌克兰的冲突恰逢前所未有的加息，这几乎没有...
菲利普·费舍尔说：“不用担心在战争期间买入股票。（战争总是会结束，但通常伴随着中央银行的过度行为。纵观历史，局部战争往往是好时期。）
但是，俄罗斯与乌克兰的冲突恰逢前所未有的加息，这几乎没有...
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![[奋斗]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "奋斗"){kind=small}
根据FactSet的数据，对俄罗斯和乌克兰的综合营业收入敞口约为1%。 $标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$ 对乌克兰局势发表评论的公司数量少是因为整体上标准普尔500指数公司对俄罗斯和乌克兰的营业收入敞口较小。
下图显示了营业收入敞口最高的标准普尔500指数公司前10名。
截至2月22日...
下图显示了营业收入敞口最高的标准普尔500指数公司前10名。
截至2月22日...
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What would happen if the Fed shrinks $8.87 trillion balance sheet?
"The balance sheet is substantially larger than it needs to be," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during a press conference. "There's a substantial amount of shrinkage in the balance sheet that needs to be done."
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According to BofA, during times of QT, history suggests that stocks>bonds, Value>Growth, large = small.
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The sectors which underperformed the index most consistently during his...
"The balance sheet is substantially larger than it needs to be," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during a press conference. "There's a substantial amount of shrinkage in the balance sheet that needs to be done."
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Should investors worry about the U.S. economy? According to Zerohedge's an article, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are worrying about it.![]()
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Goldman Sachs, traditionally one of the biggest sellside cheerleaders cautions in its Midday Market Intelligence note, one of the reasons for the sharp drop in risk assets today is not just the resurgence in geopolitical concerns but also "the potential the economy may be slowing more than expected."
A renewal of old concerns -- geopolitical issues, economic growth -- is driving the market to assume a risk-off stance of Thursday. In addition to the political situation in the Ukraine, the Philly Fed -- an important real-time gauge of the economy -- retreated in February. While the +16 reading remains in 'expansionary' territory (anything above '0'), the slowdown comes on the heels of a very strong January reading (+23) and against FactSet consensus expectations for a +22 reading.
The combination of increasing geopolitical concerns and the potential the economy may be slowing more than expected sent the VIX back up to 24, and drove a decline in equities as investors turned to bonds and gold -- both traditional investor perceived 'safe havens'.
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Coincidentally, on Monday, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist penned an article writing that between the big hit to the US consumer - now that stimmies are no longer funding the relentless spending spree -and the potential for sharp escalation in the Ukraine conflict, "materially increases the odds of a polar vortex for the economy and earnings."
The strategist recommends investors position defensively for more downside.
$道琼斯指数 (.DJI.US)$ $标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$ $纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC.US)$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $美国银行 (BAC.US)$ $雪佛龙 (CVX.US)$ $伯克希尔-B (BRK.B.US)$ $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ $苹果 (AAPL.US)$ $ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.US)$
Goldman Sachs, traditionally one of the biggest sellside cheerleaders cautions in its Midday Market Intelligence note, one of the reasons for the sharp drop in risk assets today is not just the resurgence in geopolitical concerns but also "the potential the economy may be slowing more than expected."
A renewal of old concerns -- geopolitical issues, economic growth -- is driving the market to assume a risk-off stance of Thursday. In addition to the political situation in the Ukraine, the Philly Fed -- an important real-time gauge of the economy -- retreated in February. While the +16 reading remains in 'expansionary' territory (anything above '0'), the slowdown comes on the heels of a very strong January reading (+23) and against FactSet consensus expectations for a +22 reading.
The combination of increasing geopolitical concerns and the potential the economy may be slowing more than expected sent the VIX back up to 24, and drove a decline in equities as investors turned to bonds and gold -- both traditional investor perceived 'safe havens'.
The strategist recommends investors position defensively for more downside.
$道琼斯指数 (.DJI.US)$ $标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$ $纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC.US)$ $纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $美国银行 (BAC.US)$ $雪佛龙 (CVX.US)$ $伯克希尔-B (BRK.B.US)$ $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ $苹果 (AAPL.US)$ $ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.US)$
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Fund managers increase cash holdings to highest level since early days of pandemic, as many are worried about global growth fears reducing and liquidity concerns becoming amplified.
Average cash holdings among investors jumped to 5.3 % this month, up from 5% in January, according to a closely watched survey by Bank of America of fund managers with a combined $1tn in assets.
Morever, UBS says wealthy investors are hanging on to ca...
Average cash holdings among investors jumped to 5.3 % this month, up from 5% in January, according to a closely watched survey by Bank of America of fund managers with a combined $1tn in assets.
Morever, UBS says wealthy investors are hanging on to ca...
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根据美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的披露，高盛（GS.US）提交了截至2021年12月31日的第四季度持仓报告（13F）
根据统计数据，高盛第四季度的总市值达到5062.2亿美元，上一季度的总市值为4714.65亿美元，环比增长7%
In the...
根据统计数据，高盛第四季度的总市值达到5062.2亿美元，上一季度的总市值为4714.65亿美元，环比增长7%
In the...
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这是我从10家顶级机构投资者的展望中找到的2022年投资的地方。
我们可以迅速了解到贝莱德、高盛、摩根史坦利、JP摩根、富达、资本集团、瑞银、瑞士信贷、中金和交通银行国际的观点。
总的来说，贝莱德、高盛和JP摩根看好中国资产，支持中国市场估值、政策方面以及长期经济发展潜力。摩根史坦利和交通银行国际提醒美国市场可能因为美联储的行动、加息预期、高估值等因素出现下滑；关注防守性行业如医疗保健，也可以关注esg、共同富裕、定价能力和高分红。
$道琼斯指数 (.DJI.US)$ $纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC.US)$ $标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$ $恒生指数 (800000.HK)$ $国企指数 (800100.HK)$ $恒生科技指数 (800700.HK)$ $上证指数 (000001.SH)$ $台积电 (TSM.US)$ $阿斯麦 (ASML.US)$ $辉瑞 (PFE.US)$
我是莫莉。我喜欢了解金融市场的机会和热门话题，特别是宏观经济。
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谢谢您关注我！
2022年你的投资计划是什么？为什么不和莫莉分享并讨论呢？
我们可以迅速了解到贝莱德、高盛、摩根史坦利、JP摩根、富达、资本集团、瑞银、瑞士信贷、中金和交通银行国际的观点。
总的来说，贝莱德、高盛和JP摩根看好中国资产，支持中国市场估值、政策方面以及长期经济发展潜力。摩根史坦利和交通银行国际提醒美国市场可能因为美联储的行动、加息预期、高估值等因素出现下滑；关注防守性行业如医疗保健，也可以关注esg、共同富裕、定价能力和高分红。
$道琼斯指数 (.DJI.US)$ $纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC.US)$ $标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$ $恒生指数 (800000.HK)$ $国企指数 (800100.HK)$ $恒生科技指数 (800700.HK)$ $上证指数 (000001.SH)$ $台积电 (TSM.US)$ $阿斯麦 (ASML.US)$ $辉瑞 (PFE.US)$
我是莫莉。我喜欢了解金融市场的机会和热门话题，特别是宏观经济。
2022年你的投资计划是什么？为什么不和莫莉分享并讨论呢？
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40年来通胀的最大增幅已经导致开空者加大了对消费类股票的押注 消费类股票 根据标普全球市场情报数据，消费类可支配股票的空头持仓达到了一年多来的最高水平
据数据显示，一月底消费类可支配股票的空头持仓率达到了4.83%，是自2021年1月中旬以来该板块的最高水平
1月底最多空头持仓的10支股票中，有3支是...
据数据显示，一月底消费类可支配股票的空头持仓率达到了4.83%，是自2021年1月中旬以来该板块的最高水平
1月底最多空头持仓的10支股票中，有3支是...
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Molly wealth talk 楼主 Your Average Trader : 像你一样，我不是地缘政治专家，所以我们应该谨慎对待华尔街的观点。
但我同意，投资者有必要关注美联储的政策和美国的经济基本面，这应该是股票回报的主要驱动力。