ubinguides
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ubinguides
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$Senseonics (SENS.US)$
About the Company:
This play is NOT based around the fundamental value of SENS, but it is important to know what the company is before investing
SENS designs and manufactures Glucose monitoring systems. Their flagship device goes under the skin and transmits data to their app in real time! Their accuracy in real-time monitoring is revolutionary, especially considering that their newest transmitter lasts up to 180 days
They are currently awaiting FDA approval on the 180 day sensor, but have cleared most major regulatory hurdles
Knowing that they are creating a good product clears some of the risk
OK now that we got that boring shit out of the way, let me show you the REAL fun!
Options Market:
Sens has an INSANELY bullish options market with a put/call ratio of 0.2! This means that for every put, there are 5 MORE call options purchased!
https://preview.redd.it/2l7f1dhs5am71.png?width=1173&format=png&auto=webp&s=d48899e2ecf89dd2705d9996efc900c9e89f86a6
EVEN including meme stocks, this is the HIGHEST P/C ratio I have EVER SEEN
A high open interest and P/C ratio mean two things; the market thinks this stock will go up, and this has a potential for a gamma squeeze
The open interest on just 9/17 expiry is INSANE
https://preview.redd.it/ui55d21u5am71.png?width=1365&format=png&auto=webp&s=600508d2ac83260cfba660b4da4652452967eb0f
This means that ANY increase in IV or price of the underlying stock will lead to MM’s purchasing a shit ton of shares to ‘gamma hedge’ to stay delta-neutral, which in turn will lead to a chain reaction of MM’s buying shares to hedge which causes the price and IV to increase further
Every stock/option you buy will be multiplied by this effect, giving you a MUCH larger influence over the price of the stock
Short Interest:
Despite making a good product and having an insanely bullish options market, shorts have over-shorted this stock up to 30% SI!
https://preview.redd.it/1setq0yv5am71.png?width=424&format=png&auto=webp&s=889840adc77bcbb2250f1dd1e7891f5c4372dbb8
Additionally, over the past few weeks about 45% of the daily volume has been sold short
https://preview.redd.it/4gmvqiqw5am71.png?width=818&format=png&auto=webp&s=754d41ce9b3c815b5c9e52fb3c8a12a2d25ca1c3
These numbers alone don’t necessarily mean shorts will cover their positions… But if you include the bullish options market, which is primed for a gamma squeeze, and a potential FDA approval, you begin to see why shorts are fucked and will begin to close their positions soon. All this stock needs is a catalyst...
Possible Catalysts:
The main catalyst I see for a short squeeze is full FDA approval on their 180 day sensor. Once it is approved, many shorts who were betting on the company going bankrupt will get out
A few shorts covering mixed with such high open interest and new investors getting in will lead to a massive price spike and the potential to trigger margin calls on over-leveraged short positions
The more likely situation I see though is an immediate spike followed by slow exits from short positions. I don’t see a massive M O A S S happening, but instead steady upwards momentum as shorts close their positions
I see the 180 day sensor being approved within the next 1-2 months as their 90 day sensor has already been cleared awhile ago and their 180 day sensor has cleared most regulatory requirements already
Positions:
10 $3.5 C 9/17, 10 $4 C 9/17, 20 $4.5 C 9/17, 20 $5 C 9/17, 10 $3.5 C 10/15, 20 $4 C 10/15, 20 $4.5 C 10/15 100 shares
About the Company:
This play is NOT based around the fundamental value of SENS, but it is important to know what the company is before investing
SENS designs and manufactures Glucose monitoring systems. Their flagship device goes under the skin and transmits data to their app in real time! Their accuracy in real-time monitoring is revolutionary, especially considering that their newest transmitter lasts up to 180 days
They are currently awaiting FDA approval on the 180 day sensor, but have cleared most major regulatory hurdles
Knowing that they are creating a good product clears some of the risk
OK now that we got that boring shit out of the way, let me show you the REAL fun!
Options Market:
Sens has an INSANELY bullish options market with a put/call ratio of 0.2! This means that for every put, there are 5 MORE call options purchased!
https://preview.redd.it/2l7f1dhs5am71.png?width=1173&format=png&auto=webp&s=d48899e2ecf89dd2705d9996efc900c9e89f86a6
EVEN including meme stocks, this is the HIGHEST P/C ratio I have EVER SEEN
A high open interest and P/C ratio mean two things; the market thinks this stock will go up, and this has a potential for a gamma squeeze
The open interest on just 9/17 expiry is INSANE
https://preview.redd.it/ui55d21u5am71.png?width=1365&format=png&auto=webp&s=600508d2ac83260cfba660b4da4652452967eb0f
This means that ANY increase in IV or price of the underlying stock will lead to MM’s purchasing a shit ton of shares to ‘gamma hedge’ to stay delta-neutral, which in turn will lead to a chain reaction of MM’s buying shares to hedge which causes the price and IV to increase further
Every stock/option you buy will be multiplied by this effect, giving you a MUCH larger influence over the price of the stock
Short Interest:
Despite making a good product and having an insanely bullish options market, shorts have over-shorted this stock up to 30% SI!
https://preview.redd.it/1setq0yv5am71.png?width=424&format=png&auto=webp&s=889840adc77bcbb2250f1dd1e7891f5c4372dbb8
Additionally, over the past few weeks about 45% of the daily volume has been sold short
https://preview.redd.it/4gmvqiqw5am71.png?width=818&format=png&auto=webp&s=754d41ce9b3c815b5c9e52fb3c8a12a2d25ca1c3
These numbers alone don’t necessarily mean shorts will cover their positions… But if you include the bullish options market, which is primed for a gamma squeeze, and a potential FDA approval, you begin to see why shorts are fucked and will begin to close their positions soon. All this stock needs is a catalyst...
Possible Catalysts:
The main catalyst I see for a short squeeze is full FDA approval on their 180 day sensor. Once it is approved, many shorts who were betting on the company going bankrupt will get out
A few shorts covering mixed with such high open interest and new investors getting in will lead to a massive price spike and the potential to trigger margin calls on over-leveraged short positions
The more likely situation I see though is an immediate spike followed by slow exits from short positions. I don’t see a massive M O A S S happening, but instead steady upwards momentum as shorts close their positions
I see the 180 day sensor being approved within the next 1-2 months as their 90 day sensor has already been cleared awhile ago and their 180 day sensor has cleared most regulatory requirements already
Positions:
10 $3.5 C 9/17, 10 $4 C 9/17, 20 $4.5 C 9/17, 20 $5 C 9/17, 10 $3.5 C 10/15, 20 $4 C 10/15, 20 $4.5 C 10/15 100 shares
12
3
ubinguides
赞了
$蔚来 (NIO.US)$ what you all do
8
ubinguides
评论了
到目前为止,你们可能已经听说了2021年5月1日即将举行的伯克希尔·哈撒韦股东大会。
与此同时,我们正在举办一个“沃伦·巴菲特对战凯西·伍德,谁是真正的大师?”的讨论。
加入讨论并赚取奖励积分!
*奖励积分商城即将推出,你将能够使用奖励积分兑换礼品!
[讨论话题]
Warren Buffett vs. Cathie Wood...
已翻译
![[积分赠送] Warren Buffett VS Cathie Wood,谁是真正的大师?](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/moo-1619864150-77777017-iPhone-1-org.jpg/thumb)
139
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ubinguides
评论了
你好,新加坡的 mooers!进展如何? ![]()
在过去的几周里,我们迎接了超过4万名新加坡mooers,并收到了您的大量投资愿望和故事。很高兴在这里见到大家!非常感谢您无私地与我们分享您的启发性投资经验,这极大地帮助我们更好地了解彼此。![]()
如前所述,参与本次讨论的每个 mooer 将获得 200 个任务积分奖励。获得并分享了富途公牛娃娃礼物的 mooers 将再获得 88 点积分。奖品已经发放到你的账号了...
在过去的几周里,我们迎接了超过4万名新加坡mooers,并收到了您的大量投资愿望和故事。很高兴在这里见到大家!非常感谢您无私地与我们分享您的启发性投资经验,这极大地帮助我们更好地了解彼此。
如前所述,参与本次讨论的每个 mooer 将获得 200 个任务积分奖励。获得并分享了富途公牛娃娃礼物的 mooers 将再获得 88 点积分。奖品已经发放到你的账号了...
已翻译
![新加坡mooers说,终于有了多合一平台](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/1616683079805-101000100-android-org.gif/thumb)
![新加坡mooers说,终于有了多合一平台](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/1616683079849-101000100-android-org.jpg/thumb)
![新加坡mooers说,终于有了多合一平台](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/1616683079855-101000100-android-org.jpg/thumb)
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