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William Paul 男 ID: 71434799
extremely active trader!
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    William Paul 赞并评论了
    1) 我没看见这个词 $Xilinx(XLNX.US)$任何地方。我也看不到有人承认这样一个现实,即除非服务器CPU差异很大,否则它们承受着来自超大规模公司的内部CPU的越来越大的压力,比如AWS的Graviton 2。这些越来越多。(我不确定服务器中其他基于ARM的CPU是否会获得如此大的吸引力,即使它们更胜一筹,因为超大规模处理器在内部开发的零件上获得了更好的利润。)
    2) 对我来说,铸造服务业务能否变得重要和成功还有待观察。与自动驾驶领域一样,它们也会跑吗?
    3) “英特尔暗示,Granite Rapids(在上述延迟之后定于2023年上市)的内核数量将是Sapphire Rapids的2倍,这意味着英特尔可能会超越 $美国超微公司(AMD.US)$(那时它将有一个 96 核 CPU)和 112 核 CPU。” 在效率核心的时代,以及在 AMD 方面采用 3D vCache 的时代,内核数量真正告诉你的内容是有限的。
    我认为英特尔会努力奋斗,我只是觉得我不会寄希望于他们在利润率最高的市场中恢复CPU的主导地位,而且我认为我也不会指望他们在他们想要进入的其他领域确立主导地位。在接下来的10-20年中,它们可能不会无关紧要,但它们现在只是一只大狗,而不是大狗。
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    $特斯拉(TSLA.US)$ 有时候早起的鸟会抓到蠕虫;有时第二只老鼠会抓到奶酪。我们可以把清理雷区的功劳归功于特斯拉。
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    图片
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    William Paul 赞并评论了
    伙计们,我拥有 $Block(SQ.US)$ $PayPal(PYPL.US)$我喜欢 PayPal 在那里创建 BNPL 的方式,但很高兴 SQ 加入了进来,还有 SQ 拥有直接在现金应用程序以及 tidal 和 Weebly 中缴纳的税款,并且是第一个为小型企业开设收账款的人
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    1
    William Paul 留下了心情并评论了
    一份报告称,华平投资已大幅下调估值 $阿里巴巴(BABA.US)$ 随着周三交易的进展,子公司蚂蚁集团对这家中国互联网零售巨头几乎没有剩余影响。
    华堡表示,它现在对金融科技公司蚂蚁的估值约为1910亿美元,比6月底给蚂蚁的224美元估值低15%。据路透社报道,由于 “监管发展和正在进行的重组的影响”,华堡改变了对蚂蚁的估值。
    据报道,华堡还表示,它认为蚂蚁的美国首次公开募股计划不会很快实现。今年早些时候,蚂蚁金服暂停了首次公开募股计划,此前中国政府监管机构命令该公司重组为一家金融控股公司。该法令是北京持续打击许多中国领先科技巨头商业行为的一部分。
    拥有蚂蚁集团约33%股份的阿里巴巴周三股价小幅上涨了约1%。在其他领先的中国互联网公司中, $百度(BIDU.US)$ 保持在每股150美元左右的盈亏平衡线附近。萨斯奎哈纳分析师夏姆·帕蒂尔将阿里巴巴的目标股价从310美元下调至每股200美元,并将百度的估计从200美元下调至每股175美元。帕特尔以对中国Covid-19形势的担忧为由削减了目标价格。
    据说周二,中国监管机构一直在向阿里巴巴(BABA)和百度施加压力,要求他们打击用于欺诈性商业行为的平台。
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    华堡下调蚂蚁集团估值,阿里巴巴股价保持稳定
    7
    William Paul 赞并评论了
    $Lucid Group(LCID.US)$ 目前的财务状况看起来并不乐观,但是一旦Lucid Motors进入批量生产并交付更多轿车和SUV,情况就会改变。假设生产延误不会使公司的生产计划脱轨,那么到2025年,Lucid Motors很有可能每年生产10万辆电动汽车。按10万美元的平均销售价格计算,Lucid Motors有可能在2025年之前创造100亿美元的年销售额。Lucid Air Pure的起价为77,400美元,但更高级别的机型变得越来越昂贵。Air Grand Touring的起价为139,900美元,而Air Dream Edition的起价为16.9万美元。因此,平均销售价格应大大高于7.7万美元。
    Lucid Motors的首款电动汽车预订量为17,000辆,对于一家没有先前车型且预示着即将发生的事情的电动汽车公司来说,这给人留下了深刻的印象。
    在短期内,亏损将是惊人的,尤其是因为Lucid Motors自己生产电动汽车。预计未来两年每年的亏损将超过10亿美元,但将在接下来的几年中逐渐下降,尤其是在Gravity SUV投入生产之后。
    我的结论
    Lucid Motors的股票最近一直在下跌,这是有充分理由的。开始交付是Lucid Motors的一项重大成就,它向投资者表明,该公司及其高管能够取得业绩。在我看来,Lucid Motors是一家拥有100亿美元年销售潜力的电动汽车公司,也是在这十年电动汽车采用率将逐渐增加的市场中最令人兴奋的电动汽车股票。话虽如此,预计Lucid Motors的股票将不时出现曲折并保持波动。如果你像我一样进行长期投资,这不应该打扰你。
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    到2025年,销售额可能达到100亿美元
    到2025年,销售额可能达到100亿美元
    7
    William Paul 赞并评论了
    $艾伯维公司(ABBV.US)$ Aesthetics is a wrongfully underestimated asset in AbbVie. A reminder: Botox and other assets came with the recent acquisition of Allergan.
    And these assets should be valued higher than other Pharma assets as there is no loss of exclusivity with Botox. This is a trademark and therefore the cash flow will be recurring for a long time.
    And if you believe that Rinvoq and Skyrizi will be able to substitute, even partially, for Humira, then AbbVie appears very undervalued at a PE of 8.
    A PE at 12 would be more appropriate. Which could get the stock to a level at 140 to 150.
    6
    William Paul 留下了心情
    It is becoming quite a list: $慧与科技(HPE.US)$, $甲骨文(ORCL.US)$, $特斯拉(TSLA.US)$, $Palantir(PLTR.US)$ ... Arguably, Bill Hewlett and Dave Packard are the founding fathers of Silicon Valley.
    As to the growth story and trajectory with PLTR, I'm content to wait, sitting on my shares and weathering the vagaries of quarterly market cycles. The trend is my friend.
    6
    William Paul 留下了心情并评论了
    $苹果(AAPL.US)$ on Tuesday filed suit against an Israeli company that it says is known for making and selling software that is used in state-sponsored surveillance and spying on individuals' phones and communications.
    Apple filed the suit against NSO Group and its parent company, Q Cyber, in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California in San Jose. In its filing, Apple said NSO's products and services are used to target individual people, "including government officials, journalists, businesspeople, activists, academics and even U.S. citizens" for the company's commercial benefit.
    "They design, develop, sell, deliver, deploy, operate, and maintain offensive and destructive malware and spyware products and services that have been used to target, attack, and harm Apple users, Apple products, and Apple," said Apple, in its suit. Apple wants a permanent injunction to be issued that would prevent NSO from using Apple software, services, or devices.
    In a separate statement, Craig Federighi, Apple's senior vice president of software engineering, said the company makes "the most secure consumer hardware on the market." However, Federighi said that companies that are developing state-sponsored spyware have caused Apple to take legal action to prevent more cyber attacks on individuals.
    "While these cybersecurity threats only impact a very small number of our customers, we take any attack on our users very seriously," Federighi said. "And we're constantly working to strengthen the security and privacy protections in iOS to keep all of our users safe."
    Apple said it would alert any iPhone users that might have been attacked with a form of software called FORCEDENTRY.
    According to Apple attackers used the FORCEDENTRY software to create Apple IDs that were then used to send malicious data to a person's iPhone. Apple said this then allowed NSO, or its clients, to install a type of spyware called Pegasus on a person's phone without their knowledge.”
    The company said its own servers were neither hacked, nor compromised, during the attacks.
    U.S. government officials recently raised the issue of security risks in the matter of proposed European Union trade rules that would require American tech companies to share some trade secrets with their rivals.
    Apple sues Israeli company known for hacking and spying software
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    $奈飞(NFLX.US)$ 我涉足直播。有些地方我喜欢,有些地方我不喜欢。我喜欢的是没有广告。我不喜欢的是必须寻找可以看的东西,以及我已经看过的所有过时的东西。
    有线电视应该转向单点套餐,这是很难被击败的。
    我认为最终可能会有人改用单点直播套餐。
    我肯定错过了 Netflix 上的机会。说实话,当他们通过邮寄业务泄露视频时,我很怀疑。说实话我还是。我想知道人们也是在什么时候开始离开Netflix的。
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    William Paul 赞并评论了
    $阿里巴巴(BABA.US)$ 这是买入信号。
    一直如此,将永远是机构基于恐惧/头条新闻/宏观因素逃离企业,但公司的基本面/估值为正值。
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