Shenzhen Huijie Group's (SZSE:002763) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Shenzhen Huijie Group's (SZSE:002763) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Shenzhen Huijie Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002763) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
疲软的收益似乎并不令人担忧深圳市汇捷集团有限公司(SZSE:002763)过去一周的股东人数。我们的分析表明,尽管利润疲软,但业务的基础是强大的。
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Huijie Group
查看我们对深圳汇杰集团的最新分析
Zooming In On Shenzhen Huijie Group's Earnings
放大深圳汇杰集团的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简单地说,这个比率是从净利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该公司在此期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。
Over the twelve months to March 2022, Shenzhen Huijie Group recorded an accrual ratio of -0.14. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥412m, well over the CN¥252.1m it reported in profit. Over the last year, Shenzhen Huijie Group's free cash flow remained steady.
截至2022年3月的12个月内,深圳汇捷集团的应计比率为-0.14。这意味着它有很好的现金转换率,并意味着它的自由现金流稳步超过了去年的利润。事实上,在过去12个月中,该公司报告的自由现金流为4.12亿加元,远高于其报告的利润2.521亿加元。过去一年,深圳汇捷集团的自由现金流保持稳定。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Huijie Group.
注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对深圳汇杰集团的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Shenzhen Huijie Group's Profit Performance
我们对深圳汇捷集团盈利表现的看法
Shenzhen Huijie Group's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Shenzhen Huijie Group's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 39% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shenzhen Huijie Group at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Huijie Group you should know about.
深圳汇捷集团的权责发生制比率稳健,显示出强劲的自由现金流,如上所述。正因为如此,我们认为深圳汇捷集团的盈利潜力至少像看起来的那么好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,它的每股收益在过去三年里以每年39%的速度增长。当然,当谈到分析其收益时,我们只是触及了皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等因素。因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但考虑到深圳汇杰集团目前面临的风险也同样重要。每家公司都有风险,我们为深圳汇杰集团发现了一个警示标志,你应该知道。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shenzhen Huijie Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
这份报告只关注了一个因素,它揭示了深圳汇杰集团的利润性质。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。
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这篇由《华尔街日报》撰写的文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简单地说,华尔街在提到的任何股票中都没有头寸。