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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

股市下跌基本面稳固:市场对中国铁建重工股份有限公司(上交所:688425)的看法是错的吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/30 22:00

With its stock down 19% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard China Railway Construction Heavy Industry (SHSE:688425). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's ROE.

在过去的三个月里,中国铁建重工的股价下跌了19%,人们很容易忽视中国铁建重工(上交所:688425)。但如果你仔细观察,你可能会猜到,它强劲的财务状况可能意味着,考虑到市场通常会奖励财务状况良好的公司,该股可能会在长期内增值。在本文中,我们决定关注中国铁建重工的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,这是一个衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry

查看我们对中国铁建重工的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

这个净资产收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is:

因此,根据上述公式,中国铁建重工的净资产收益率为:

12% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

12%=CN元18亿×CN元150亿(以截至2022年3月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.12 in profit.

“回报”就是年度利润。这意味着,每增加价值1元的股东权益,公司就会产生0.12元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

净资产收益率与盈利增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。我们现在需要评估公司将多少利润再投资或“保留”用于未来的增长,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存较高的公司比不具备这些特征的公司有更高的增长率。

China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

中国铁建重工盈利增长与净资产收益率12%

At first glance, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.2%. Probably as a result of this, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry was able to see a decent growth of 7.7% over the last five years.

乍看之下,中国铁建重工似乎拥有不错的净资产收益率。此外,该公司的净资产收益率(ROE)与行业平均水平8.2%相比相当有利。可能正是由于这个原因,中国铁建重工在过去五年中能够实现7.7%的可观增长。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,对比行业净收入增长,我们发现中国铁建重工的报告增长低于同期14%的行业增长,这是我们不愿意看到的。

SHSE:688425 Past Earnings Growth May 31st 2022
上海证交所:过去688425的收益增长2022年5月31日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者下一步需要确定的是,预期的收益增长是否已经计入了股价。这有助于他们确定这只股票是为光明还是黯淡的未来做准备。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据一只股票的盈利前景决定市场愿意为其支付的价格。因此,你可能想看看中国铁建重工相对于其行业的市盈率是高还是低。

Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中国铁建重工是否有效地对利润进行了再投资?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 27% (implying that the company retains 73% of its profits), it seems that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

中国铁建重工的三年中值股息率为27%(这意味着该公司保留了73%的利润),看起来它正在以一种高效的方式进行再投资,它看到了收益可观的增长,并支付了丰厚的股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry.

整体而言,我们觉得中国铁建重工的表现相当不错。特别是,看到该公司在业务上投入了大量资金,并获得了高回报率,从而实现了可观的收益增长,这一点令人欣慰。如果该公司继续以目前的方式增长收益,考虑到每股收益对长期股价的影响,这可能会对其股价产生积极影响。记住,股票的价格也取决于感知到的风险。因此,投资者在投资任何公司之前,必须随时了解所涉及的风险。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为中国铁建重工确定的3个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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