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3 Stocks to Watch That Could Be the Next Revlon

3 Stocks to Watch That Could Be the Next Revlon

3只值得关注的股票可能成为下一个露华浓
InvestorPlace ·  2022/06/24 16:38

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The market's biggest sensation this week has been Revlon (NYSE:REV). On June 16, the well-known cosmetics retailer announced it would be filing for bankruptcy. In the days that followed, REV stock began to surge as retail investors flagged it as a short squeeze target. One week later, it had skyrocketed by 250%. While shares have since come down, REV is still up 150% from where it was a week ago. Investors are still watching closely as its rise draws comparisons to previous meme stocks, such as GameStop (NYSE:GME). But as its gains stabilized yesterday, investors began looking for the next Revlon.

本周市场最大的轰动是露华浓(纽约证券交易所代码:REV)。6月16日,这家知名化妆品零售商宣布将申请破产。在接下来的几天里,REV的股票开始飙升,因为散户投资者将其列为空头挤压目标。一周后,它已经飙升了250%。虽然股价此后有所回落,但Rev的股价仍比一周前上涨了150%。投资者仍在密切关注它的上涨,将其与之前的表情包股票进行比较,例如游戏停止(纽约证券交易所:GME)。但随着其昨天的涨幅企稳,投资者开始寻找下一个露华浓。

What would make for such a stock? Fintel CEO Wilton Risenhoover laid it out for investors yesterday. As he sees it, "retail investor[s] are interested in Revlon because it has the same characteristics as the other big meme stock plays in the past — a well known brand that is in trouble and could possibly be saved."

这样的股票是怎么回事?Fintel首席执行官威尔顿·里森胡佛昨天向投资者阐述了这一点。在他看来,“散户投资者”[s]他们之所以对露华浓感兴趣,是因为它与过去其他大型表情包股票具有相同的特征--一个陷入困境、有可能获救的知名品牌。

He cites AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) and Hertz (NASDAQ:HTZ) as examples. By that logic, the criteria for the next Revlon would be well-known brands that are on the verge of bankruptcy. And as CNBC reports, the retail sector is likely facing a "wave of bankruptcies" throughout the coming year.

他引用了AMC娱乐公司(纽约证券交易所代码:AMC)和赫兹(纳斯达克:HTZ)作为例子。按照这种逻辑,下一个露华浓的标准将是濒临破产的知名品牌。以及ASCNBC据报道,零售业在未来一年可能会面临一波“破产潮”。

Let's take a look at few retailers in financial trouble that might be the next Revlon.

让我们来看看几家陷入财务困境的零售商,它们可能会成为下一个露华浓。

GPS
全球定位系统(GPS)
Gap Inc. $9.37
Gap Inc.9.37美元
ANF
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch $19.75
Abercrombie&Fitch$19.75
CPRI
CPRI
Capri Holdings $46.50
卡普里控股46.50美元

The Next Revlon: Gap Inc. (GPS)

下一个露华浓:Gap Inc.(GPS)

Gap (NYSE:GPS) is one of the most known fashion retailers. But the company isn't just the iconic store that bears its name. Its holdings include other stores like Old Navy and Banana Republic. However, that hasn't necessarily been a good thing recently.

差距(纽约证券交易所代码:GPS)是最知名的时尚零售商之一。但这家公司不仅仅是以它的名字命名的标志性商店。它的资产包括老海军和香蕉共和国等其他商店。然而,最近这并不一定是一件好事。

According to CNBC, Gap is among the list of retailers who claim to have accumulated too much merchandise during the pervious boom cycle. That macro trend may be what leads us to the next Revlon, particularly as inflation continues to curb shopping habits. Gap's expensive yet informal clothing isn't deemed an essential in a "buy what's needed" economy.

根据CNBC在之前的景气周期中,Gap等零售商声称积累了过多的商品。这种宏观趋势可能会引领我们走向下一个露华浓,特别是在通胀继续抑制购物习惯的情况下。Gap昂贵但非正式的服装在“买所需”的经济中并不被认为是必需品。

Experts have marked Gap as a likely candidate for bankruptcy since the pandemic's early days, when it began closing stores at an alarming pace. Business Insider reports that by 2024, only 870 Gap, Banana Republic and Old Navy stores will still be open across North America. That's a steep decline from the 1,216 that existed before the pandemic.

自疫情爆发初期,当Gap开始以惊人的速度关闭门店以来,专家们一直将Gap标记为可能的破产候选者。商业内幕报告称,到2024年,北美将只有870家Gap、Banana Republic和Old Naval门店仍在营业。与大流行前的1216人相比,这一数字急剧下降。

GPS stock has plunged almost 50% YTD, and there's nothing to suggest a turnaround is in sight. But it still remains one of the most well-known brands in American fashion. If it goes under, the r/WallStreetBets crowd will be tempted to step in.

GPS的股价今年以来暴跌了近50%,没有任何迹象表明好转在望。但它仍然是美国时尚界最知名的品牌之一。如果它倒闭,R/WallStreetBets的人群将忍不住介入。

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)

Abercrombie&Fitch(ANF)

The next name on this list isn't as modest as Gap, but it is perhaps even more well-known. Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) has spent decades catering to the preppy crowd across the U.S. and Europe. While it didn't have a problem selling high-priced scarfs and crested blazers to wealthy shoppers in better times, the current "buy what's needed" market hasn't been good for pricier merchants.

这份榜单上的下一个名字没有Gap那么谦虚,但它可能更广为人知。Abercrombie&Fitch(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ANF)几十年来一直在迎合美国和欧洲的预科生人群。虽然在经济景气的时候,将高价围巾和冠状夹克卖给富有的购物者并不成问题,但目前的“买所需”市场对价格较高的商家来说并不是好事。

With a YTD decline of 44%, ANF stock hasn't performed quite as poorly as GPS this year. But it may still have a difficult road ahead. More companies are suffering from the too-much-merchandise plague. Abercrombie's higher initial prices will mean high losses as it is forced to slash prices to move products.

由于年初以来下跌了44%,ANF股票今年的表现没有GPS那么差。但它可能仍有一条艰难的路要走。越来越多的公司正在遭受商品过多的困扰。Abercrombie较高的初始价格将意味着巨额亏损,因为它被迫大幅降价以销售产品。

The nostalgia economy that some experts have discussed isn't strong enough to save a beaten down stock whose latest earnings were disappointing. But it might be just strong enough to help ANF achieve meme stock status, particularly among contrarian investors in their 20s and 30s.

一些专家讨论过的怀旧经济还不足以挽救一只遭受重创的股票,因为它的最新收益令人失望。但它可能刚刚强大到足以帮助ANF获得Meme股票地位,特别是在二三十岁的反向投资者中。

The Next Revlon: Capri Holdings (CPRI)

下一个露华浓:卡普里控股公司(CPRI)

When The Street laid out a list of companies that might not see the end of 2022, it included Capri Holdings (NYSE:CPRI). The company owns several high-end brands, including Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo and Versace. But even last year's bull market didn't help the company's troubled financials. The Street reports that as of late 2021, it had "about $7.5 billion in assets, $1.1 billion in long-term debt, $1.5 billion in lease obligations and about $234 million cash and cash equivalents on hand."

什么时候《华尔街》列出了2022年底可能看不到的公司名单,其中包括卡普里控股(纽约证券交易所代码:CPRI)。该公司拥有几个高端品牌,包括Michael Kors、Jimmy Choo和范思哲。但即便是去年的牛市也没有帮助该公司陷入困境的财务状况。《华尔街》报告称,截至2021年末,该公司“拥有约75亿美元的资产、11亿美元的长期债务、15亿美元的租赁债务以及约2.34亿美元的现金和现金等价物。”

The brands in Capri's portfolio are synonymous with glamour and high-fashion. But if consumers aren't buying $30 Gap khakis, they certainly aren't buying $300 Michael Kors sundresses or $650 Versace flip-flops. The company has warned that it isn't expecting a sales revival until at least 2023. That may be too late for a turnaround.

卡普里投资组合中的品牌是魅力和高级时尚的代名词。但如果消费者不买30美元的Gap卡其裤,他们肯定不会买300美元的Michael Kors太阳裙或650美元的范思哲人字拖。该公司警告称,预计至少要到2023年才会出现销售复苏。这可能为时已晚,无法扭转局面。

CPRI stock is down about 30% YTD. That puts it in a slightly better place than GPS and ANF, but that doesn't mean it isn't a likely bankruptcy candidate. If it does start talking Chapter 11, retail investors will be excited. The prospect of a high-end fashion retailer going under will be too tempting to pass up.

CPRI的股票今年以来下跌了约30%。这让它的处境略好于GPS和ANF,但这并不意味着它不可能破产。如果它真的开始讨论破产法第11章,散户投资者将感到兴奋。一家高端时尚零售商倒闭的前景太诱人了,让人无法放弃。

On the date of publication, Samuel O'Brient did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

截至发稿之日,塞缪尔·奥布赖特并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com出版指南.

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最早出现在InvestorPlace上的可能是下一个露华浓的3只值得关注的股票。

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