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3 Inverse Real Estate ETFs to Buy to Be Like Michael Burry

3 Inverse Real Estate ETFs to Buy to Be Like Michael Burry

要像迈克尔·伯里一样买入 3 只反向房地产 ETF
InvestorPlace ·  2022/07/22 13:26

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Housing experts are bracing for impact as whispers of a housing market crash continue to make the rounds on Wall Street. Now, interest in inverse real estate exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is skyrocketing as investors consider the profit potential of a housing market downturn.

随着房地产市场崩盘的传言继续在华尔街流传,房地产专家们正准备迎接冲击。现在,随着投资者考虑房地产市场低迷的盈利潜力,投资者对反向房地产交易所交易基金(ETF)的兴趣正在飙升。

Once considered taboo, shorting housing is now an acknowledged strategy. This is in no small part due to Michael Burry; the now-infamous short investor earned billions during the 2008 housing market crash. Burry was one of the first investors to realize and invest in the instability of the industry.

做空住房一度被认为是禁忌,现在却成了公认的策略。这在很大程度上要归功于迈克尔·伯里;这位现在臭名昭著的做空投资者在2008年房地产市场崩盘期间赚了数十亿美元。Burry是第一批意识到该行业不稳定并对其进行投资的投资者之一。

Home prices have climbed even as rising mortgage rates and rampant inflation aggressively eat into the buying power of would-be homeowners. The median sale price of homes in the first quarter of 2022 was $428,700, the highest level ever.

尽管不断上升的抵押贷款利率和猖獗的通胀正在积极侵蚀潜在房主的购买力,但房价仍在攀升。2022年第一季度的房屋销售价格中值为42.87万美元,为历史最高水平。

Home prices are clearly ripe for a mild — or not-so-mild — correction. However, inverse real estate ETFs offer investors the chance to hedge against the housing market. These short funds will grow in value if home prices take the dive many analysts predict.

房价出现温和--或不那么温和--调整的时机显然已经成熟。然而,反向房地产ETF为投资者提供了对冲房地产市场的机会。许多分析师预测,如果房价暴跌,这些做空基金的价值将会上升。

Here are three major inverse real estate ETFs set to explode, should housing make the long-awaited downturn.

以下是三只主要的房地产反向ETF,如果房地产市场出现期待已久的低迷,它们将出现爆炸式增长。

Ticker
代码机
ETF
etf
Price
价格
DRV
钻头
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Direxion Daily房地产熊市3X股
$45.20
$45.20
SRS
SRS
ProShares UltraShort Real Estate
ProShares UltraShort房地产
$15.84
$15.84
REK
REK
ProShares Short Real Estate
ProShares Short Real Estate
$18.58
$18.58

Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares

Direxion Daily房地产熊市3X股

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来源:89stocker/Shutterstock

The Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:DRV) is easily the most leveraged — and therefore riskiest — fund on this list. DRV tracks three times the inverse of The Real Estate Select Sector Index, or IXRE, which in turn tracks real estate-related companies in the S&P 500. This index is re-balanced every quarter.

这个Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares ETF(NYSEArca:DRV)无疑是这份名单上杠杆率最高的基金,因此也是风险最高的基金。Drv跟踪的轨迹是房地产精选行业指数,或IXRE,反过来跟踪与房地产相关的公司在标准普尔500指数。这一指数每季度都会重新平衡。

Offering a -3X daily leverage means there tends to be a wide gap between the performance of the underlying index (or in this case, inverse underlying index) and the fund itself. Because the fund's target multiple is reset daily, it requires frequent monitoring and is subject to substantial volatility long-term. DRV is not a product meant for a buy-and-hold portfolio.

提供-3倍的每日杠杆率意味着标的指数(或在这种情况下,反向标的指数)的表现与基金本身之间往往存在巨大差距。由于该基金的目标倍数每天都会重置,因此需要频繁监控,并长期受到大幅波动的影响。DRV不是一种针对买入并持有的投资组合的产品。

The daily reset function of many short funds is somewhat confusing. On a given day, the fund will do as stated. If the index — in this case the IXRE — goes up 1%, DRV will go down 3% per the -3X leverage multiple. However, over several trading sessions, the volatility of the daily reset becomes more clear. If the index goes up 1% one day and down 1% the next, it will have a close to 0% net change. The fund, however, will still be down due to the daily reset. After all, if the fund increases 3% from being down 3%, it will enjoy less profit than if it started at 0% rather than -3%.

不少做空基金的日常重置功能有些混乱。在给定的一天,该基金将按照规定行事。如果指数-在这种情况下是IXRE-上涨1%,那么DRV将以-3倍的杠杆倍数下降3%。然而,在几个交易日中,每日重置的波动性变得更加明显。如果指数一天上涨1%,第二天下跌1%,它将有接近0%的净变化。然而,由于每天的重置,该基金仍将下跌。毕竟,如果该基金从下跌3%转为上涨3%,它的利润将低于从0%开始的水平,而不是-3%。

This ETF's leveraged nature also means that, should the IXRE drop more than 33% in a given day, DRV will effectively lose its entire worth. It's a dangerous game, meant for only the savviest investors. Still, if you believe you can time the fall of the housing market, DRV could yield the strongest returns of any fund on this list.

这只ETF的杠杆性质还意味着,如果IXRE指数在一天内下跌超过33%,DRV实际上将失去其全部价值。这是一个危险的游戏,只适合最精明的投资者。尽管如此,如果你相信你可以计算房地产市场的下跌时间,DRV可能会在这份名单上的任何基金中产生最强劲的回报。

ProShares UltraShort Real Estate

ProShares UltraShort房地产

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资料来源:Tokar/Shutterstock

The ProShares UltraShort Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:SRS) offers a -2x daily leverage of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index.

这个ProShares UltraShort房地产ETF(NYSEArca:SRS)提供-2倍的每日杠杆道琼斯美国房地产指数.

As with many highly leveraged short funds, timing is key. Like the DRV, the SRS' leverage is reset daily. That means each day the fund will, on a compounding basis, track the daily movement of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index. Because of that, the ETF is not a long-hold investment. Rather, investors can rapidly earn 2-to-1 returns on the demise of the housing market, as tracked by the index.

与许多杠杆率很高的做空基金一样,时机是关键。与DRV一样,SRS的杠杆率每天都会重置。这意味着该基金每天都将在复利基础上跟踪道琼斯美国房地产指数的每日走势。正因为如此,ETF不是一种长期持有的投资。相反,正如该指数跟踪的那样,投资者可以在房地产市场崩溃时迅速获得2比1的回报。

The Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index is a float-adjusted market cap-weighted index that tracks the performance of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and other property agencies. It's three largest holdings include American Tower (NYSE:AMT), ProLogis (NYSE:PLD) and Crown Castle (NYSE:CCI).

道琼斯美国房地产指数是一个浮动调整的市值加权指数,跟踪房地产投资信托基金(REITs)和其他房地产机构的表现。它最大的三个持有量包括美国塔(纽约证券交易所代码:AMT),序曲(纽约证券交易所:可编程逻辑器件)和皇冠城堡(纽约证券交易所代码:CCI)。

With -200% leverage, the ProShares UltraShort fund offers a middle ground between the relatively conservative ProShares Short Real Estate ETF and the ultra-aggressive Direxion 3X Shares. With that said, 2X daily leverage is still risky. That bars the fund from any sort of long-hold strategies.

凭借-200%的杠杆率,ProShares UltraShort基金在相对保守的ProShares Short Real Estate ETF和极端激进的Direxion 3X股票之间提供了一个中间地带。话虽如此,2倍的日杠杆率仍有风险。这阻止了该基金采取任何形式的长期持有策略。

ProShares Short Real Estate

ProShares Short Real Estate

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资料来源:STOCK-ASSO/Shutterstock

Last up on this list of inverse real estate ETFs, the ProShares Short Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:REK) gives owners a -1x daily leverage of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index.

在这份反向房地产ETF名单上,最后一位是ProShares做空房地产ETF(NYSEArca:REK)为所有者提供了-1倍的道琼斯美国房地产指数的每日杠杆。

This product is functionally similar to ProShares UltraShort ETF, albeit with a more conservative leveraging model.

该产品在功能上类似于ProShares UltraShort ETF,尽管杠杆模式更为保守。

Unlike some more leveraged funds, the -1X ratio of REK means the ETF will track the inverse of the underlying index a bit more closely. On a year-to-date (YTD) basis, the ETF is down about 17%. With that said, the fund is still meant to be closely monitored on a daily basis.

与一些杠杆率较高的基金不同,REK的-1倍比率意味着ETF将更密切地跟踪标的指数的反向。以年初至今(YTD)计算,该ETF下跌了约17%。话虽如此,该基金仍将受到每天的密切监控。

On the date of publication, Shrey Dua did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文发表之日,Shrey Dua并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com发布指南的约束。

The post 3 Inverse Real Estate ETFs to Buy to Be Like Michael Burry appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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