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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin lose late-July mojo: Crypto could see 'one last leg up' before things 'get dicey again,' says analyst

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin lose late-July mojo: Crypto could see 'one last leg up' before things 'get dicey again,' says analyst

比特币、以太、Dogecoin失去了7月下旬的魔力:分析师说,在事情再次变得危险之前,加密可能会看到最后一条腿
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2022/08/01 22:06

Major coins traded in negative territory on Monday evening as the global cryptocurrency market cap dropped 0.6% to $1.08 trillion at press time.

周一晚上,主要硬币的交易价格为负值,截至发稿时,全球加密货币市值下跌0.6%,至1.08万亿美元。

Price Performance Of Major Coins
Coin 24-hour 7-day Price
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) -0.7% 10.1% $23,212.12
Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) -3.1% 14.8% $1635.31
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) -0.45% 10.8% $0.06833
主要币种的价格表现
钱币 24小时 7天 价格
比特币(密码:BTC) -0.7% 10.1% $23,212.12
以太(加密:ETH) -3.1% 14.8% $1635.31
道格考因(Dogecoin)(密码:Doge) -0.45% 10.8% $0.06833
Top 24-Hour Gainers (Data via CoinMarketCap)
Cryptocurrency 24-Hour % Change (+/-) Price
Chiliz (CHZ) +18.6% $0.15
Theta Network (THETA)  +11.5% $1.5
Gala (GALA) +8.1% $0.06
24小时涨幅最大的股票(来自CoinMarketCap的数据)
加密货币 24小时百分比更改(+/-) 价格
Chiliz(Chz) +18.6% $0.15
Theta网络(西塔) +11.5% $1.5
春晚(晚会) +8.1% $0.06


Why It Matters: $Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$ and $Ethereum(ETH.CC)$ were in the red at press time. 

为什么这很重要:$比特币(BTC.CC)$$以太(ETH.CC)$截至发稿时,我们都处于亏损状态。

The apex coin continued to track stocks, as the $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ and $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ futures were down 0.2% each, respectively.

顶尖硬币继续跟踪股票,因为$标准普尔500指数(.SPX.US)$$纳斯达克100指数(.NDX.US)$期货价格分别下跌0.2%。

The beginning of August has lacked the exuberance witnessed in the last week of July. That rally was due to the uncertainty in the backdrop of "potentially negative data being released, or an impactful event occurring," said GlobalBlock analyst Marcus Sotiriou in a note seen by Benzinga, adding that there's a lack of buyers leading into such events.

8月初没有7月最后一周看到的那种旺盛气氛。GlobalBlock分析师表示,这一涨势是由于“可能发布的负面数据,或发生有影响的事件”的背景下的不确定性马库斯·索蒂里奥在Benzinga看到的一份便条中,他补充说,导致此类活动的买家缺乏。

In addition to the market pricing in bad news, there is another reason, in my opinion, why global markets rallied last week." 

- said Sotiriou.

在我看来,除了市场反映坏消息的因素外,上周全球市场反弹还有另一个原因。

“索蒂里奥说。

The stock market bottomed in each recession when the Federal Reserve U-turned — by U-turning, I mean going from a stance of tightening monetary policy to accommodative monetary policy (this could be pausing rate hikes or even re-introducing rate cuts)."

当美联储180度大转弯时,股市在每一次衰退中都触底,我的意思是从收紧货币政策转向宽松货币政策(这可能是暂停加息,甚至重新引入降息)。

many buyers have started to price in the probability of the Federal Reserve U-turning in the coming months."

- Sotiriou said.

许多买家已经开始计入美联储在未来几个月内180度大转弯的可能性。

-索蒂里奥说。

OANDA senior market analyst Edward Moya said Wall Street still has the mindset that recent stock market gains were just a "bear market rally." 

OANDA高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚他说,华尔街仍然有一种心态,认为最近股市的上涨只是一次“熊市反弹”。

On the rate-hike trajectory, Moya said, "The data-dependent Fed is still in a good position to deliver another massive rate increase, but expectations are anchoring them for a much slower pace after the September FOMC decision."

在加息轨迹上,莫亚表示:“依赖数据的美联储仍处于有利地位,有望再次大规模加息,但在9月份联邦公开市场委员会做出决定后,市场预期加息的速度会慢得多。”

On-chain data remains "lackluster" and the late July rally "has not yet seen a convincing follow through in observable demand activity," wrote Glassnode in a weekly blog post. 

链条数据仍然“低迷”,7月下旬的反弹“还没有看到令人信服的后续可观察到的需求活动,”Glassnode在每周一篇博客文章中写道。

The on-chain analysis company said, "Bitcoin blocks are partially empty, Ethereum gas prices are at multi-year lows, and the rate of EIP1559 burning is at all-time lows." The EIP1559 is a reference to an Ethereum fee burning mechanism.

这家链式分析公司表示,“比特币区块部分空置,以太气价格处于数年低点,EIP1559的燃烧率处于历史低点。”EIP1559是对以太费用燃烧机制的引用。

As an example of the lackluster on-chain activity, Glassnode shared Bitcoin's "number of active addresses," which the company said remained firmly in a well-defined downtrend channel.

作为链上活动平淡无奇的一个例子,Glassnode分享了比特币的“活跃地址数量”,该公司表示,比特币仍坚定地处于明确的下降趋势通道。

"With exception of a few activity spikes higher during major capitulation events, the current network activity suggests that there remains little influx of new demand as yet."

“除了在重大投降活动期间出现少数活动激增外,目前的网络活动表明,到目前为止,新需求的涌入仍然很少。”

Cryptocurrency trader Justin Bennett tweeted that the total market cap could see "one last minor leg up" before "things get dicey again." The analyst says the $1.15 trillion level is the one to keep an eye on. 

加密货币交易员贾斯汀·班尼特他在推特上写道,总市值可能会出现“最后一次小幅上涨”,然后“情况再次变得危险”。这位分析师说,1.15万亿美元的水平是值得关注的。

2022080200014627031769fedd8.png

Chartist Ali Martinez said that Bitcoin is on top of stable support between the $17,000 and $23,000 levels where 3.4 million addresses purchased $2.14 million of the apex coin. The important resistance level is between $31,000 and $41,000, where 5.37 million addresses previously purchased 2.55 million BTC.

航海家Ali·马丁内斯他说,比特币在17,000美元和23,000美元之间的稳定支撑之上,340万个地址购买了214万美元的顶尖比特币。重要阻力位在31,000美元至41,000美元之间,537万个地址之前购买了255万个BTC。

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