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Buy and Hold Apple Stock for the Long Term

Buy and Hold Apple Stock for the Long Term

长期买入并持有苹果股票
InvestorPlace ·  2022/08/04 07:58

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Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), like other tech stocks, has bounced back in recent weeks. This is largely due to growing speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2023 in order to minimize the impact of a recession. Lower interest rates are a positive for growth-oriented names like AAPL stock. Lower rates increase the present value of future earnings.

苹果纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:AAPL)和其他科技股一样,最近几周出现反弹。这在很大程度上是因为越来越多的人猜测,美联储将在2023年降息,以将经济衰退的影响降至最低。较低的利率对苹果股票等以增长为导向的公司来说是一个积极的因素。较低的利率会增加未来收益的现值。

It's too early to say that rate cuts next year are a done deal. That's why some commentators are suggesting that selling into strength is the move to make with Apple shares. Further developments could signal the Fed plans to remain hawkish for as long as it takes to fight high inflation. This may result in another tech selloff.

现在就说明年降息已成定局还为时过早。这就是为什么一些评论员建议,卖出实力是利用苹果股票的举措。进一步的事态发展可能表明,美联储计划在对抗高通胀所需的时间内一直保持鹰派立场。这可能会导致另一轮科技股抛售。

So, is cashing out the best move? Not so fast.

那么,套现是最好的选择吗?还没那么快。

Buy and hold remains the better course of action here.

在这里,买入并持有仍然是更好的做法。

AAPL Stock: Why You Shouldn't Cash Out Now

AAPL股票:为什么你现在不应该套现

It's tempting to try to time the market, but it's easier said than done. In fact, it's nearly impossible, even for Wall Street pros. Plenty have tried to predict short-term price movements only to find themselves buying high and selling low. In turn, they miss out on the bulk of a stock's gains.

试图把握市场时机是很诱人的,但说起来容易做起来难。事实上,这几乎是不可能的,即使对华尔街的专业人士来说也是如此。许多人试图预测短期价格走势,结果却发现自己逢高买入,逢低抛售。反过来,他们错过了对一只股票大部分收益的预期。

That's the key risk you take by selling AAPL stock today while external uncertainties continue. Cashing out today, and waiting things out until there's another big pullback, may on paper seem like a foolproof strategy. Yet just as it's far from a lock that relief for growth stocks is just around the corner, it's also not set in stone that another big selloff looms for tech stocks.

在外部不确定性持续的情况下,这是你今天抛售苹果股票所要承担的主要风险。今天套现,等到出现另一次大幅回调,从纸面上看似乎是一种万无一失的策略。然而,就像成长型股票的解脱指日可待一样,科技股的另一次大规模抛售也并非板上钉钉。

Put simply, if you are bullish on Apple in the long term, don't cash out in the hopes you can re-enter at a lower price. The opportunity may not arrive. Instead of pulling back, the rally could carry on.

简而言之,如果你长期看好苹果,不要指望能以更低的价格重新入市。机会可能不会到来。反弹可能会继续,而不是回落。

There's no reason to waste effort and energy trying to trade around this stock. Instead, a set it and forget approach is the more fruitful path to potential profits.

没有理由浪费精力和精力来交易这只股票。相反,设置它并忘记的方法是通向潜在利润的更有成效的道路。

Apple Has Ample Long-Term Runway

苹果拥有充足的长期跑道

What do I mean when I say set it and forget it with AAPL stock? If you already own it, hold onto your position. If you don't own it yet, lock down a position at current market prices instead of sitting on the sidelines until it falls back to its 52-week low. Splitting hairs over entry price makes little sense.

我说用苹果股票设定它,然后忘记它,这是什么意思?如果你已经拥有它,那就坚守你的位置。如果你还没有持有,在当前市场价格下锁定头寸,而不是袖手旁观,直到它回落到52周低点。在入门价问题上挑拨离间没什么意义。

Why? It's likely that the bulk of Apple's gains from here will arrive steadily in the years ahead. Shares stand to move higher when the macroeconomic worries that are holding it back today clear up. From this factor alone, the stock could make its way to prices at or near $200 per share. On a longer timeframe, company-specific catalysts could catapult it to even higher prices.

为什么?苹果的大部分收益很可能会在未来几年稳步实现。当今天拖累股价的宏观经济担忧消除后,股价有望走高。仅从这一因素来看,该股可能会达到或接近每股200美元的价格。在更长的时间范围内,特定于公司的催化剂可能会将其推高至更高的价格。

For instance, a pivot toward making more of the tech giant's revenue subscription-based will help. Per one sell-side analyst, achieving this could add another $1 trillion to Apple's already multitrillion-dollar market capitalization.

例如,转向让这家科技巨头的收入更多地基于订阅将会有所帮助。根据一位卖方分析师的说法,实现这一目标可能会使苹果已经数万亿美元的市值再增加1万亿美元。

Its driverless electric car catalyst, another potential needle-mover, is still in motion as well. Don't forget either that there's the metaverse, where Apple can level up on its past success.

其无人驾驶电动汽车催化剂,另一个潜在的针尖推进器,也仍在运行中。也不要忘记还有元宇宙,苹果可以在这里提升其过去的成功。

The Verdict

判决结果

Currently, AAPL stock earns a B rating in my Portfolio Grader. It's unclear whether shares will continue to rebound in the near term. Even so, investors holding this stock today, or looking to add it to their portfolios, shouldn't let near-term volatility get in the way of long-term appreciation.

目前,AAPL股票在我的网站上获得B评级投资组合评分器。目前还不清楚股价是否会在短期内继续反弹。即便如此,投资者今天持有这只股票,或希望将其加入自己的投资组合,也不应该让短期波动阻碍长期升值。

Gains from here may arrive gradually, but runway is ample. Despite already sporting a valuation in the trillions, it hasn't hit a growth wall.

从这里开始的收益可能会逐渐到来,但跑道是充足的。尽管它的估值已经达到数万亿美元,但它还没有遇到增长的障碍。

Moving toward more of a subscription-based revenue model could produce significant shareholder value. Its move into self-driving electric cars and the metaverse could materially increase the company's value as well.

转向更多以订阅为基础的收入模式,可能会产生巨大的股东价值。该公司进军自动驾驶电动汽车和元宇宙的举措也可能大幅提升该公司的价值。

There are multiple factors giving it a strong chance of retaking its past high and soaring to even higher prices. Don't cash out or sit out on AAPL stock today. Holding it as a long-term position is the better move.

有多种因素使其很有可能重拾过去的高点,并飙升至更高的价格。今天不要套现或观望苹果股票。将其作为长期头寸持有是更好的举措。

On the date of publication, neither Louis Navellier nor the InvestorPlace Research Staff member primarily responsible for this article held (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

在文章发表之日,Louis Navellier和主要负责本文的InvestorPlace Research工作人员都没有(直接或间接)持有本文提到的证券的任何头寸。

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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