Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 18% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:
7.1% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.1% ROE
On the face of it, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.2%. But then again, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 8.5%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.
That being said, we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 14% in the same period.
SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth August 15th 2022
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its profits), Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
In addition, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 35% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is predicted to rise to 9.2% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
Conclusion
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上海机电工业股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600835)在过去的三个月里股票大幅上涨了18%。但该公司的关键财务指标似乎在所有方面都不同,这让我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头能否保持下去。在本文中,我们决定将重点放在上海机电工业有限公司的净资产收益率上。
股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,净资产收益率显示了每一美元相对于其股东投资产生的利润。
查看我们对上海机电实业有限公司的最新分析
净资产收益率是如何计算的?
这个股本回报率公式是:
股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益
因此,根据上述公式,上海机电工业股份有限公司的净资产收益率为:
7.1%=CN元11亿×CN元150亿(以截至2022年3月的12个月为基础)。
“回报”指的是一家公司过去一年的收益。一种概念化的方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,就会获得0.07元人民币的利润。
为什么净资产收益率对收益增长很重要?
到目前为止,我们了解到净资产收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指标。我们现在需要评估公司将多少利润再投资或“保留”用于未来的增长,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。假设其他条件不变,净资产收益率和利润保留率越高,与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,公司的增长率就越高。
上海机电工业股份有限公司盈利增长7.1%净资产收益率
从表面上看,上海机电股份有限公司的净资产收益率(ROE)没有太多可谈的。然而,一项更仔细的研究显示,该公司的净资产收益率接近8.2%的行业平均水平。但话又说回来,上海机电工业有限公司的五年净利润以8.5%的速度缩水。请记住,该公司的净资产收益率从一开始就有点低。因此,这可能是导致收益增长放缓的原因。
话虽如此,我们将上海机电工业有限公司的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现该公司在同一时期盈利缩水时,该行业的盈利却以14%的速度增长时,我们感到担忧。
上证综指:过去600835的收益增长2022年8月15日
赋予一家公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长挂钩。投资者下一步需要确定的是,预期的收益增长是否已经计入了股价。这样做将有助于他们确定该股的未来看起来是光明的还是不祥的。与其他公司相比,上海机电工业股份有限公司的价值是否公平?这3个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决定。
上海机电股份有限公司是否有效利用其留存收益?
尽管上海机电工业有限公司正常的三年派息率中值为35%(该公司保留了65%的利润),但正如我们上面看到的那样,它的收益出现了下降。看起来可能还有其他一些原因来解释这方面的缺乏。例如,这项业务可能正在衰落。
此外,上海机电工业有限公司在至少十年的时间里一直在支付股息,这表明保持股息支付对管理层来说要重要得多,即使这是以业务增长为代价的。在研究了最新的分析师共识数据后,我们发现,预计该公司将在未来三年继续支付约35%的利润。无论如何,尽管派息率预计不会有太大变化,但上海机电工业有限公司未来的净资产收益率预计将上升至9.2%。
结论
总体而言,我们对上海机电实业有限公司的感受复杂。虽然该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对收益增长产生了负面影响。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师们预计该公司的收益增长率将大幅提高。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于该公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对该公司的预测页面。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。