Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000505) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hainan Jingliang Holdings
What Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had CN¥1.78b in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥830.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥950.6m.
SZSE:000505 Debt to Equity History September 1st 2022
How Strong Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had liabilities of CN¥3.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥129.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥830.9m and CN¥230.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.52b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Hainan Jingliang Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥5.88b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Hainan Jingliang Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Pleasingly, Hainan Jingliang Holdings is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 195% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hainan Jingliang Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hainan Jingliang Holdings reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
Hainan Jingliang Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hainan Jingliang Holdings is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Hainan Jingliang Holdings's earnings per share history for free.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。与许多其他公司一样海南京亮控股有限公司。(SZSE:000505)利用债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。
债务会带来什么风险?
当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司对债务管理得相当好--并对自己有利。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
查看我们对海南景亮控股的最新分析
海南景亮控股的债务是什么?
下面的图表显示,海南精良控股2022年6月的债务为人民币17.8亿元,与前一年大致相同。点击查看更多详细信息。然而,它确实有8.309亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为9.506亿加元。
深交所:000505债转股历史2022年9月1日
海南景亮控股的资产负债表有多强?
从最新的资产负债表可以看到,海南景亮控股有34.6亿元的负债在一年内到期,还有1.297亿元的负债在一年内到期。另一方面,它有8.309亿新元的现金和2.307亿新元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债总额为人民币25.2亿元,比现金和短期应收账款的总和还要多。
海南景亮控股的市值为人民币58.8亿元,因此,如果有需要,它很可能会筹集现金来改善其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。
我们通过查看公司的净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),并计算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖利息支出(利息覆盖)的容易程度,来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力的关系。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。
海南景亮控股的净债务与EBITDA之比约为2.0,这表明其仅适度使用债务。而其1k倍的强大利息覆盖,让我们更加舒心。令人欣喜的是,海南京良控股的息税前利润增长速度快于澳大利亚前总理鲍勃·霍克(Bob Hawke)倒下一块院子玻璃的速度,在过去12个月里增长了195%。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为海南晶亮控股需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要看看息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年里,海南京亮控股报告的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的14%,这确实是相当低的。对我们来说,低现金转换引发了一点偏执,那就是偿还债务的能力。
我们的观点
根据这一分析,海南景亮控股的利息覆盖率及其息税前利润增长率是一个真正积极的因素。另一方面,它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,让我们对其债务不那么放心。当我们考虑到上述所有因素时,在我们看来,海南景亮控股的债务管理得相当好。话虽如此,这笔负担足够沉重,我们建议任何股东都要密切关注。在大多数其他指标中,我们认为跟踪每股收益的增长速度(如果有的话)是很重要的。如果你也意识到了这一点,你就幸运了,因为今天你可以免费查看海南景亮控股每股收益历史的互动图表。
如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。