The recent earnings release from Shenwu Energy Saving Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000820 ) was disappointing to investors. We looked deeper and believe that there is even more to be worried about, beyond the soft profit numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenwu Energy Saving
SZSE:000820 Earnings and Revenue History September 11th 2022
Examining Cashflow Against Shenwu Energy Saving's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to June 2022, Shenwu Energy Saving had an accrual ratio of 1.68. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥91m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥25.1m. We also note that Shenwu Energy Saving's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥91m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenwu Energy Saving.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
On top of the noteworthy accrual ratio and the spike in non-operating revenue, we can also see that Shenwu Energy Saving benefitted from unusual items worth CN¥427m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shenwu Energy Saving's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Shenwu Energy Saving's Profit Performance
Shenwu Energy Saving had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Shenwu Energy Saving's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenwu Energy Saving you should know about.
Our examination of Shenwu Energy Saving has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最近发布的收益来自神雾节能有限公司。(SZSE:000820)令投资者失望。我们进行了更深入的研究,认为除了疲软的利润数据,还有更多值得担心的问题。
查看我们对神雾节能的最新分析
深交所:000820年度盈利及收入历史2022年9月11日
考察现金流对神武节能收益的影响
在高端金融领域,衡量一家公司将报告利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。你可以把来自现金流的应计比率看作是‘非FCF利润率’。
因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。
截至2022年6月止年度,神武节能的应计比率为1.68。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个不好的预兆。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上负面自由现金流为9,100万元,而前述利润为2,510万元。我们还注意到,神雾节能去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,所以我们可以理解股东是否对其流出的9100万元人民币感到困扰。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。
注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对神雾节能的资产负债表分析。
异常项目对利润的影响
除了值得注意的应计比率和营业外收入的激增,我们还可以看到,神雾节能在过去12个月中受益于价值4.27亿元人民币的异常项目。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常会让我们保持乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了统计,不寻常的项目在性质上是一次性的,这是非常常见的。考虑到这些提振被描述为“不寻常的”,这正如你所预期的那样。我们可以看到,神雾节能的积极异常项目与其截至2022年6月的年度利润相比相当重要。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的项目使其法定利润比其他情况下要强劲得多。
我们对神雾节能盈利业绩的看法
神雾节能的应计比率较低,但它的利润确实得到了不寻常项目的提振。基于上述所有原因,我们认为,乍一看,神雾节能的法定利润可以被认为是低质量的,因为它们很可能给投资者带来对公司过于积极的印象。请记住,在分析一只股票时,值得注意其中的风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现神雾节能2个警示标志你应该知道。
我们对神雾节能的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可能会让神雾节能的收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。一些人认为,高股本回报率是高质量企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。