Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology Co., Ltd. (HKG:8139) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may still consider Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 12.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology
SEHK:8139 Price Based on Past Earnings October 6th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology, take a look at this
free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Growth For Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 35%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 273% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology's P/E?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology's very lofty P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
浙江长安仁恒科技股份有限公司 (HKG: 8139) 上个月,股价下跌了29%,这给等待某件事发生的股东带来了打击。对于任何长期股东来说,最后一个月的股价下跌了53%,从而结束了一年的忘记。
即使在价格大幅下跌之后,鉴于将近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)低于8倍,您仍然可以将浙江长安仁恒科技视为市盈率为12.8倍的股票。但是,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定是否合理。
举例来说,浙江长安仁恒科技的收益在过去一年中有所恶化,这并不理想。一种可能性是市盈率很高,因为投资者认为该公司在不久的将来仍将做得足够多,足以跑赢整个市场。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的可行性感到非常紧张。
查看我们对浙江长安仁恒科技的最新分析
SEHK: 8139 价格基于过去的财报 2022 年 10 月 6 日尽管没有分析师对浙江长安仁恒科技的估计,但看看这个
免费的 数据丰富的可视化,以了解公司如何累积收益、收入和现金流。
浙江长安仁恒科技有足够的增长吗?
看到像浙江长安仁恒科技这样的市盈率如此之高,你唯一能真正放心的时候是该公司的增长有望明显超越市场。
首先回顾一下,该公司去年的每股收益增长并不令人兴奋,因为它公布了令人失望的35%的跌幅。尽管如此,尽管短期表现不令人满意,但最近三年来,每股收益总体增长了273%。因此,尽管他们宁愿继续运营,但股东们可能会对中期收益增长率表示欢迎。
这与其他市场形成鲜明对比,后者预计明年将增长20%,大大低于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。
有了这些信息,我们就可以明白为什么浙江长安仁恒科技的市盈率与市场相比如此之高。看来大多数投资者都预计这种强劲的增长将继续下去,并愿意为该股支付更多费用。
我们可以从浙江长安仁恒科技的市盈率中学到什么?
股价大幅下跌并没有抑制浙江长安仁恒科技非常高的市盈率。我们可以说,市盈率的力量主要不在于作为一种估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来预期。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,我们对浙江长安仁恒科技的审查显示,其三年收益趋势是其高市盈率的原因,因为它们看起来好于当前的市场预期。目前,股东们对市盈率感到满意,因为他们非常有信心收益不会受到威胁。如果最近的中期收益趋势继续下去,那么在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来强劲下跌。
你应该时刻考虑风险。一个很好的例子,我们已经发现了 浙江长安仁恒科技的4个警示标志 你应该知道,其中有两个很重要。
重要的是 一定要寻找一家优秀的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。 所以来看看这个 免费的 近期收益增长强劲(市盈率低于20倍)的有趣公司名单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。