David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, OFILM Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002456) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for OFILM Group
How Much Debt Does OFILM Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 OFILM Group had CN¥8.42b of debt, an increase on CN¥4.43b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥3.29b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥5.13b.
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-17061553-0-c182b2bc937a219c71154ff559544a66.png/big)
SZSE:002456 Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2022
How Strong Is OFILM Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, OFILM Group had liabilities of CN¥9.72b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥4.05b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.90b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.57b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since OFILM Group has a market capitalization of CN¥16.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if OFILM Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, OFILM Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥16b, which is a fall of 42%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did OFILM Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥2.6b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥5.9b. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for OFILM Group you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
大卫·伊本说得很好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久的资本损失。”当我们想到一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看看它对债务的使用,因为债务超负荷会导致破产。重要的是, 欧菲光集团有限公司 (SZSE: 002456) 确实有债务。但是,这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
债务何时危险?
债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。
查看我们对欧菲光集团的最新分析
OFILM集团背负多少债务?
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2022年9月,OFILM集团在一年内拥有84.2亿元人民币的债务,比44.3亿元人民币的债务有所增加。但是,由于其现金储备为32.9亿元人民币,因此其净负债较少,约为51.3亿元人民币。
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-17061553-0-c182b2bc937a219c71154ff559544a66.png/big)
深圳证券交易所:002456 债务与权益历史记录 2022 年 11 月 23 日
欧菲光集团的资产负债表有多强?
根据上次公布的资产负债表,欧菲光集团在12个月内到期的负债为97.2亿元人民币,在12个月后到期的负债为40.5亿元人民币。为了抵消这些债务,它有32.9亿元人民币的现金和价值490亿人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出55.7亿元人民币。
尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为欧菲光集团的市值为169亿元人民币,因此,如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们绝对应该仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定欧菲光集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
在过去的12个月中,OFILM集团在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入降至160亿人民币,下降了42%。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。
Caveat Emptor
在过去的十二个月中,OFILM集团的收入不仅下滑,而且还产生了利息和税前收益(EBIT)为负数。事实上,按息税前利润计算,它损失了非常可观的26亿元人民币。考虑到这一点,再加上上述负债,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表有点紧张,尽管并非无法修复。例如,我们不希望看到去年59亿人民币的亏损重演。因此,简而言之,这是一只风险很大的股票。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了 OFILM 集团有 1 个警告标志 你应该知道。
当一切都说完之后,有时候更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司身上。读者可以访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单 100% 免费,现在。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。