Microsoft Leads Stock Market Higher: Here's Why A 7% Jump Could Be On The Horizon
Microsoft Leads Stock Market Higher: Here's Why A 7% Jump Could Be On The Horizon
With the S&P 500 trading near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), bullish traders are hoping the index could confirm its bear cycle has come to an end over the coming days and weeks. Weakness in Apple and Amazon should give bullish traders pause, however, because they aren't moving in tandem with the S&P 500.Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) gapped down to start Friday's session after the Labor Department released strong jobs numbers for November, sparking fears the Federal Reserve may not be succeeding at slowing the economy.
微软公司（纳斯达克：MSFT）本周五开盘出现下跳，劳工部发布了强势的11月就业数据，引发了联邦储备系统可能未能成功减缓经济的担忧。
Intraday bulls were buying the dip in some growth stocks, causing Microsoft to erase much of its losses.
日内做多者正在购买一些成长股，导致微软抹去了大部分亏损。
Of the three stocks that hold the top weightings in the S&P 500, Microsoft has shown the most strength, surging over 18% since Nov. 4. Comparatively, Apple, Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL), which holds the largest weighting in the index, and Amazon.com, Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), the third largest weighting, have rebounded about 3% and 4%, respectively, since that same date.
在标普500中占据头部权重的三只股票中，微软显示出了最强劲的势头，自11月4日以来上涨超过18%。相比之下，占据指数中最大权重的苹果公司（纳斯达克：AAPL）以及占据第三大权重的亚马逊公司（纳斯达克：AMZN）自同一日期以来分别回升约3%和4%。
With the S&P 500 trading near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), bullish traders are hoping the index could confirm its bear cycle has come to an end over the coming days and weeks. Weakness in Apple and Amazon should give bullish traders pause, however, because they aren't moving in tandem with the S&P 500.
标普500指数接近200日简单移动平均线（SMA）交易时，多头交易者希望指数能在未来几天和几周内确认其熊市周期已经结束。然而，苹果和亚马逊的疲软表现应让多头交易者保持警惕，因为它们与标普500指数的走势不同步。
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The Microsoft Chart: Microsoft has been trading in an uptrend since Nov. 4, making a consistent series of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Microsoft's most recent higher high was formed on Thursday at $256.12 and the most recent confirmed higher low was printed at the $238.21 mark on Tuesday.
微软图表：微软自11月4日以来一直处于上升趋势，在日线图上形成了一系列持续走高的高点和低点。微软最近的高点是在周四形成的，价格为256.12美元，最近确认的低点是在周二的238.21美元。
- Over the last three trading days, Microsoft may have printed a bull flag pattern, with the pole formed on Wednesday and the flag forming on Thursday and Friday. If the pattern is recognized and the stock breaks up bullishly from the flag, the measured move is about 6.7%, which suggests Microsoft could climb up toward $266.
- If Microsoft breaks up from its bull flag, the stock will also print another higher high to confirm the uptrend is still intact. If the stock continues to trend lower within the flag and loses support at the eight-day exponential moving average, the bull flag will be negated.
- Microsoft has multiple gaps above on its chart, with the first gap falling between $260.40 and $265.16. Gaps on charts fill about 90% of the time, which makes it likely the stock will rise up to fill the empty trading range in the future.
- Microsoft has resistance above at $256.84 and $263.19 and support below at $249 and $243.
- 在过去的三个交易日里，微软可能打印了一个看涨的旗形图案，旗杆形成于周三，旗帜于周四和周五形成。如果该模式被识别并且股票从旗帜上看涨突破，测量的移动大约为6.7%，这意味着微软可能上涨至266美元附近。
- 如果微软从其看涨的旗形图案中突破，股票也将打印另一个高点以确认上升趋势仍然完好。如果股票在旗帜内继续向下趋势，并且失去了八天指数移动平均线的支撑，那么看涨的旗形图案将被否定。
- 微软的图表上有多个上方的间隙，第一个间隙位于260.40美元和265.16美元之间。图表上的间隙约有90%的时间会被填补，这使得股票很可能会上涨填补未来的空头交易区。
- 微软在256.84美元和263.19美元上方有阻力，下方支撑位为249美元和243美元。
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Photo via Shutterstock.
图片来自Shutterstock。
