Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000615) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd
How Much Debt Does Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd Carry?
As you can see below, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.22b of debt at September 2022, down from CN¥1.42b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥331.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥885.2m.
SZSE:000615 Debt to Equity History December 6th 2022
A Look At Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥862.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.25b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥331.6m in cash and CN¥261.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.52b.
Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.19b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.2b, which is a fall of 40%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥216m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥239m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的同义词。”在研究公司的资产负债表有多风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常涉及债务。我们注意到 奥园美谷科技股份有限公司, Ltd. (深交所股票代码:000615)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
债务何时危险?
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。
查看我们对奥园美谷科技有限公司的最新分析
奥园美谷科技有限公司背负多少债务?
如下所示,截至2022年9月,奥园美谷科技有限公司的债务为12.2亿元人民币,低于去年同期的14.2亿元人民币。但是,由于其现金储备为3.316亿元人民币,因此其净负债较少,约为8.852亿元人民币。
深交所股票代码:000615 2022年12月6日债务与权益历史记录
看看奥园美谷科技有限公司的负债
根据上次公布的资产负债表,奥园美丽谷科技有限公司的负债为8.625亿元人民币,在12个月内到期的负债为12.5亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为12.5亿元人民币。抵消了这一点,它有3.316亿元人民币的现金和2.617亿元人民币的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额152亿人民币。
Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd的市值为51.9亿元人民币,因此,如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金来改善资产负债表。但是,我们绝对想留意有迹象表明其债务带来了太大风险。资产负债表显然是你分析债务时要关注的领域。但是,最重要的是未来的收益,将决定奥园美谷科技有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以看看这个 免费的 显示分析师盈利预测的报告。
在过去的12个月中,奥园美谷科技有限公司在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入降至12亿元人民币,下降了40%。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。
Caveat Emptor
尽管奥园美容谷科技有限公司的收入下降差不多像湿毯一样令人心动,但可以说,其利息和税前收益(EBIT)亏损的吸引力更小。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为2.16亿元人民币。考虑到这一点,再加上上述负债,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。但是,去年它消耗了2.39亿元人民币的现金,这无济于事。因此,坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。资产负债表显然是你分析债务时要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,奥园美谷科技有限公司正在展示 我们的投资分析中有 1 个警告信号 ,你应该知道...
当一切都说完之后,有时候更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司身上。读者可以访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单 100% 免费,现在。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。