Chuanglian Holdings Limited (HKG:2371) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 43% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 51% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Chuanglian Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Chuanglian Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Chuanglian Holdings
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SEHK:2371 Price Based on Past Earnings December 20th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
free report on Chuanglian Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chuanglian Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 358%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Chuanglian Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
Despite Chuanglian Holdings' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Chuanglian Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Chuanglian Holdings (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Chuanglian Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
创联集团有限公司(HKG:2371)股价经历了令人印象深刻的一个月,在经历了一段不稳定的时期后上涨了43%。但上个月对改善去年51%的股价跌幅几乎没有起到什么作用。
尽管股价强劲反弹,但创联控股5倍的市盈率仍可能使其与香港股市相比看起来像是买入。在香港,大约一半的公司的市盈率高于9倍,甚至高于19倍的市盈率也相当常见。尽管如此,我们还需要更深入地挖掘,以确定市盈率下降是否有合理的基础。
创联控股最近肯定做得很好,因为它一直在以非常快的速度增长收益。一种可能性是,市盈率较低,因为投资者认为,这种强劲的收益增长在不久的将来实际上可能会逊于大盘。如果不能实现这一点,那么现有股东有理由对未来股价的走势相当乐观。
查看我们对创联控股的最新分析
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联交所:2371基于过去收益的价格2022年12月20日我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的
免费创联控股的收益、收入和现金流报告。
增长是否与低市盈率相匹配?
为了证明其市盈率是合理的,创联控股需要实现落后于市场的低迷增长。
如果我们回顾一下去年的收益增长,该公司公布了358%的惊人增长。不过,该公司的长期表现没有那么强劲,三年每股收益增长总体上相对不存在。因此,在我们看来,在这段时间里,该公司在收益增长方面的结果好坏参半。
与预计未来12个月将实现17%增长的市场相比,根据最近的中期年化收益结果,该公司的增长势头较弱。
有了这些信息,我们就可以理解为什么创联控股的市盈率低于大盘。显然,许多股东对持有一只他们认为将继续追随该交易所走势的股票感到不安。
最后的结论
尽管创联控股的股价一路高歌猛进,但其市盈率仍落后于大多数其他公司。有人认为,市盈率是衡量某些行业价值的次要指标,但它可以成为一个强大的商业信心指标。
我们已经确定,创联控股维持其低市盈率的原因是,正如预期的那样,其最近三年的增长低于更广泛的市场预测。目前,股东们正在接受低市盈率,因为他们承认,未来的收益可能不会带来任何令人愉快的惊喜。如果近期的中期盈利趋势继续下去,在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来强劲上涨。
总是有必要考虑到投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确认了创联控股的两个警告标志(至少有一个不应该被忽视),理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果这些风险让你重新考虑对创联控股的看法,探索我们的高质量股票互动列表,以了解还有什么。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。