We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Spare a thought for those who held Harbin Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:6138) for five whole years - as the share price tanked 85%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 60% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 31% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
Since Harbin Bank has shed HK$660m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
View our latest analysis for Harbin Bank
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
We know that Harbin Bank has been profitable in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
Arguably, the revenue drop of 17% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
SEHK:6138 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 20th 2022
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 12% in the twelve months, Harbin Bank shareholders did even worse, losing 60%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Harbin Bank .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
我们绝对喜欢长期投资,但一些公司在任何时间范围内都是糟糕的投资。我们真的不愿看到其他投资者失去他们的血汗钱。想一想那些持有哈尔滨银行股份有限公司(HKG:6138)整整五年--股价暴跌85%。我们怀疑长期投资者是唯一忧心忡忡的持有者,因为股价在过去12个月里下跌了60%。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了31%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。虽然像这样的下降绝对是对身体的打击,但金钱并不像健康和幸福那么重要。
由于哈尔滨银行在过去7天里市值缩水6.6亿港元,让我们看看较长期的下跌是否是由企业的经济状况推动的。
查看我们对哈尔滨银行的最新分析
不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
我们知道哈尔滨银行过去一直是盈利的。然而,它在过去12个月里出现了亏损,这表明在这个阶段利润可能是一个不可靠的指标。其他指标或许能更好地解释股价走势。
可以说,营收连续五年以每年17%的速度下滑表明,该公司无法实现长期增长。这可能解释了股价疲软的原因。
下图显示了收益和收入随时间的变化情况(如果您点击该图,您可以看到更多详细信息)。
联交所:6138盈利及收入增长2022年12月20日
资产负债表的强健至关重要。也许很值得一看我们的免费报告其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而发生变化。
不同的视角
虽然大盘在过去12个月里下跌了约12%,但哈尔滨银行股东的表现更糟,下跌了60%。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本面的发展。令人遗憾的是,去年的业绩为糟糕的表现画上了句号,股东们在五年内面临着每年13%的总亏损。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该意识到1个警告标志我们已经发现了哈尔滨银行。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。