Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd (SHSE:900915) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Zhonglu.Co.Ltd
What Is Zhonglu.Co.Ltd's Debt?
As you can see below, Zhonglu.Co.Ltd had CN¥54.1m of debt, at September 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥247.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥193.5m.
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-18085534-0-0b24a49e543d5c36ff618a23cb35f24b.png/big)
SHSE:900915 Debt to Equity History December 23rd 2022
How Strong Is Zhonglu.Co.Ltd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhonglu.Co.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥255.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥96.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥247.6m in cash and CN¥87.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥16.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Having regard to Zhonglu.Co.Ltd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥6.89b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Zhonglu.Co.Ltd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhonglu.Co.Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Zhonglu.Co.Ltd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 24%, to CN¥878m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
So How Risky Is Zhonglu.Co.Ltd?
While Zhonglu.Co.Ltd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥40m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. One positive is that Zhonglu.Co.Ltd is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Zhonglu.Co.Ltd (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你评估一家公司的风险有多大时,聪明的投资者似乎知道债务--通常涉及破产--是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到中路股份有限公司(上交所:900915)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
债务会带来什么风险?
当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。
查看我们对中路股份有限公司的最新分析
中路股份有限公司的债务是什么?
如下所示,截至2022年9月,中路股份有限公司的债务为5410万元人民币,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表查看更多详细信息。然而,它确实有2.476亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金为1.935亿加元。
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-18085534-0-0b24a49e543d5c36ff618a23cb35f24b.png/big)
上证综指:900915债转股历史2022年12月23日
中路股份的资产负债表有多强?
根据最近一次报告的资产负债表,中路股份有限公司有2.55亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,9630万加元的负债在12个月后到期。作为抵消,它有2.476亿加元的现金和8740万加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多1630万元。
考虑到中路股份有限公司的规模,其流动资产与总负债似乎达到了很好的平衡。因此,尽管很难想象这家68.9亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为,值得监控其资产负债表。虽然中路股份有限公司确实有值得注意的负债,但它的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理其债务。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为中路股份有限公司需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。
去年,中路股份没有实现息税前利润,但其收入增长了24%,达到人民币8.78亿元。股东们可能会祈祷它能以自己的方式增长并实现盈利。
那么,中路股份有限公司的风险有多大?
虽然中路股份有限公司在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但它实际上录得了4000万元的账面利润。因此,从表面上看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不是很大。一个积极的因素是,中路股份有限公司的收入正在快速增长,这使得销售增长故事和在必要时筹集资金变得更容易。但这并没有改变我们的观点,即这只股票是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。我们已经确定了4个警告信号与中路股份有限公司合作(至少有1个不能忽视),了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果你有兴趣投资于可以在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的企业,那么看看这个免费资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业名单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。