ECI Technology Holdings (HKG:8013) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
ECI Technology Holdings (HKG:8013) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The market for ECI Technology Holdings Limited's (HKG:8013) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.
的市场 ECI 科技控股有限公司的 (HKG: 8013) 股票在上周发布健康的收益报告后表现强劲。尽管如此,我们的分析表明,有一些因素削弱了这些良好利润数字的基础。
See our latest analysis for ECI Technology Holdings
查看我们对ECI科技控股公司的最新分析
Examining Cashflow Against ECI Technology Holdings' Earnings
将现金流与ECI科技控股公司的收益进行比较
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)效果的一个关键财务比率是 应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。
For the year to February 2023, ECI Technology Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.10. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$13m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$8.13m. ECI Technology Holdings' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2023年2月的一年中,ECI Technology Holdings的应计比率为-0.10。因此,其法定收入远低于其自由现金流。也就是说,该公司在此期间产生了1300万港元的自由现金流,与其报告的813万港元的利润相形见绌。ECI Technology Holdings的自由现金流比去年有所改善,这总体上是好消息。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了应计比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ECI Technology Holdings.
注意: 我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对ECI Technology Holdings的资产负债表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不寻常的物品如何影响利润?
Surprisingly, given ECI Technology Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by HK$5.9m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. ECI Technology Holdings had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to February 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
令人惊讶的是,鉴于ECI Technology Holdings的应计比率暗示了强劲的现金转换率,其票面利润实际上由590万港元的不寻常项目提振。虽然获得更高的利润总是一件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重要的不寻常项目通常不会重复。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。与截至2023年2月的利润相比,ECI Technology Holdings的异常项目做出了相当大的贡献。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润比原本要强得多。
Our Take On ECI Technology Holdings' Profit Performance
我们对ECI Technology Holdings利润表现的看法
In conclusion, ECI Technology Holdings' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think ECI Technology Holdings' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing ECI Technology Holdings at this point in time. For example, ECI Technology Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
总之,ECI Technology Holdings的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,不寻常的项目提振了利润。考虑到这些因素后,我们认为ECI Technology Holdings的法定利润对业务的看法并不过于严厉。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑ECI Technology Holdings目前面临的风险同样重要。例如,ECI 科技控股有 3 个警告标志 (以及 1 个不容忽视)我们认为你应该知道。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
在本文中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为业务指南。但是,如果你有能力将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得探索的地方。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而其他人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。所以你可能希望看到这个 免费的 一系列拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。