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Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

上海机电工业有限公司, Ltd.(SHSE: 600835)股票走强但基本面看起来不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/04/26 19:48

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

上海机电工业股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600835)在过去的三个月里股票大幅上涨了16%。然而,我们想知道该公司不一致的财务数据是否会对当前的股价势头产生不利影响。具体地说,我们决定在本文中研究上海机电工业有限公司的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或净资产收益率是股东要考虑的一个重要因素,因为它告诉他们他们的资本再投资的效率。简而言之,它衡量的是一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd

查看我们对上海机电实业有限公司的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海机电工业股份有限公司的净资产收益率为:

6.0% = CN¥928m ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

6.0%=9.28亿元×150亿元(以截至2022年9月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回报”指的是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。这意味着,股东权益每增加1元,公司就会产生0.06元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么净资产收益率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们了解到净资产收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司将这些利润再投资或“保留”多少,以及这样做的效率如何,我们就能够评估一家公司的收益增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,与没有相同特征的公司相比,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常会有更高的增长率。

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.0% ROE

上海机电股份有限公司盈利增长和净资产收益率为6.0%

At first glance, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.9%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 12% seen by Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,上海机电股份有限公司的净资产收益率看起来并不是很有希望。其次,与7.9%的行业平均净资产收益率相比,该公司的净资产收益率让我们感到更不热情。在这种情况下,上海机电工业有限公司在过去五年中净收入大幅下降12%也就不足为奇了。然而,也可能有其他因素导致收益下降。例如,可能是企业的资本配置不当,或者公司的派息率非常高。

However, when we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将上海机电工业有限公司的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在缩水,但同期该行业的收益增长了11%。这相当令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth April 26th 2023
上证综指:过去收益增长600835 2023年4月26日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是评估一只股票时需要考虑的一个重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。这样做将有助于他们确定该股的未来看起来是光明的还是不祥的。如果你想知道上海机电工业股份有限公司的估值,看看这个衡量其市盈率的指标,它与其行业相比。

Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海机电股份有限公司能否有效地对利润进行再投资?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 35% (or a retention ratio of 65%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

上海机电股份有限公司的三年派息率中值为35%(或留存率为65%),这是相当正常的,但盈利的下降令人费解,因为当一家公司保留了很大一部分利润时,人们预计会看到相当大的增长。看起来可能还有其他一些原因来解释这方面的缺乏。例如,这项业务可能正在衰落。

Additionally, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 35%. However, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE is predicted to rise to 8.0% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,上海机电工业有限公司在至少十年的时间里支付了股息,这意味着公司管理层决心支付股息,即使这意味着收益几乎没有增长。根据最新的分析师预估,我们发现该公司未来三年的派息比率预计将稳定在35%。然而,上海机电工业有限公司的净资产收益率预计将上升至8.0%,尽管其派息率没有预期的变化。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总体而言,我们对上海机电工业有限公司的表现有点矛盾。虽然该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。您可以通过访问我们的网站查看我们为上海机电工业有限公司确定的4个风险风险控制面板在我们的平台上是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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