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We Think Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (SHSE:900934) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (SHSE:900934) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为上海锦江国际酒店(SHSE: 900934)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/05 20:27

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd. (SHSE:900934) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的同义词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的人似乎知道债务(通常与破产有关)是一个非常重要的因素。和许多其他公司一样 上海锦江国际酒店有限公司 (上海证券交易所:900934)利用债务。但是股东们是否应该担心它对债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可能是企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels

查看我们对上海锦江国际酒店的最新分析

What Is Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels's Net Debt?

上海锦江国际酒店的净负债是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels had CN¥15.1b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥7.90b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥7.15b.

您可以点击下图了解更多详情,该图表显示,上海锦江国际酒店在 2023 年 3 月的债务为 151 亿元人民币;与前一年大致相同。但是,它也有79.0亿元人民币的现金,因此其净负债为71.5亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:900934 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2023
SHSE: 900934 债转股历史记录 2023 年 5 月 6 日

How Strong Is Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' Balance Sheet?

上海锦江国际酒店的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels had liabilities of CN¥12.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥18.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.90b in cash and CN¥2.72b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥20.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,上海锦江国际酒店在一年内到期的负债为124亿元人民币,在此之后的到期负债为185亿元人民币。抵消了这一点,它有79.0亿元的现金和272亿元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出203亿元人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels is worth CN¥49.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

这种赤字还不算严重,因为上海锦江国际酒店的价值为495亿元人民币,因此,如果有需要,很可能筹集到足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3, it's fair to say Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Looking on the bright side, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels boosted its EBIT by a silky 64% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为5.3,可以公平地说,上海锦江国际酒店确实有大量债务。但好消息是,它拥有相当令人欣慰的2.7倍的利息保障,这表明它可以负责任地履行其义务。从好的方面来看,上海锦江国际酒店去年将其息税前利润提高了64%。就像母亲对新生儿的爱心拥抱一样,这种增长可以增强韧性,使公司更有能力管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定上海锦江国际酒店能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否带来了相应的自由现金流。在过去的两年中,上海锦江国际酒店产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。在保持贷款人的好感方面,没有什么比收到的现金更好的了。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. All these things considered, it appears that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

好消息是,上海锦江国际酒店表现出的将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力让我们感到高兴,就像毛茸茸的小狗对待幼儿一样。但严峻的事实是,我们对其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例感到担忧。考虑到所有这些因素,看来上海锦江国际酒店可以轻松应付其目前的债务水平。当然,尽管这种杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但它确实带来了更多的风险,因此值得关注这个杠杆作用。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了 上海锦江国际酒店的 2 个警告标志 (1 是令人担忧的)你应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章无意提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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