Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Huangshan Tourism Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600054)
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Huangshan Tourism Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600054)
There wouldn't be many who think Huangshan Tourism Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600054) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Hospitality industry in China is similar at about 8.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
不会有很多人认为 黄山旅游发展有限公司, Ltd. 's (SHSE: 600054) 9.3倍的市售比(或 “市盈率”)值得一提,而中国酒店业的市盈率中位数相似,约为8.6倍。但是,不加解释地忽视市盈率是不明智的,因为投资者可能无视一个独特的机会或一个代价高昂的错误。
See our latest analysis for Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd
查看我们对黄山旅游发展有限公司的最新分析
What Does Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
黄山旅游发展有限公司的P/S对股东意味着什么?
Recent times have been pleasing for Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. Those who are bullish on Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
最近对黄山旅游发展有限公司来说令人高兴,因为尽管该行业的平均收入出现了逆转,但其收入却有所增加。可能是许多人预计强劲的收入表现将像其他人一样恶化,这使市盈率无法上升。那些看好黄山旅游发展有限公司的人会希望情况并非如此,这样他们就可以以略低的估值买入该股。
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd?
预计黄山旅游发展有限公司的收入会有所增长吗?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd's to be considered reasonable.
有一种固有的假设是,一家公司应该与行业相匹配,这样像黄山旅游发展有限公司这样的市盈率才能被认为是合理的。
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 29% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
如果我们回顾一下去年的收入增长,该公司公布了15%的可观增长。但是,这还不够,因为最近三年来,总收入下降了令人不快的29%。因此,不幸的是,我们必须承认,在那段时间里,该公司在增加收入方面做得不好。
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 77% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 90% growth forecast for the broader industry.
谈到前景,正如关注该公司的五位分析师所估计的那样,明年将实现77%的增长。这将大大低于整个行业90%的增长预期。
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
考虑到这一点,我们发现有趣的是,黄山旅游发展有限公司的P/S与业内同行非常接近。显然,该公司的许多投资者没有分析师所表示的那么看跌,他们现在也不愿意放弃股票。如果市盈率跌至更符合增长前景的水平,这些股东可能会为未来的失望做好准备。
The Key Takeaway
关键要点
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
有人认为,在某些行业中,价格与销售比率是衡量价值的次要指标,但它可能是一个有力的商业情绪指标。
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
我们对分析师对黄山旅游发展有限公司收入前景的预测表明,其较差的收入前景对其市盈率的负面影响并没有我们预期的那么大。目前,我们对市盈率没有信心,因为预测的未来收入不太可能长期支持更积极的情绪。这样的情况给当前和潜在的投资者带来了风险,如果低收入增长影响市场情绪,他们可能会看到股价下跌。
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.
在你确定自己的观点之前,我们已经发现 1 个黄山旅游发展有限公司的警告标志 你应该知道的。
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
如果过去盈利增长稳健的公司是你的不二之选,你可能希望看到这个 免费的 其他盈利增长强劲且市盈率低的公司集合。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章无意提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。