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China Reform Culture Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600636) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

China Reform Culture Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600636) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

中国改革文化控股有限公司(SHSE: 600636)走势强劲,但基本面似乎喜忧参半:该股有明确的方向吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/29 22:02

China Reform Culture Holdings' (SHSE:600636) stock is up by a considerable 40% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Reform Culture Holdings' ROE today.

中国改革文化控股(上海证券交易所代码:600636)的股票在过去三个月里上涨了40%。但该公司的关键财务指标似乎在所有方面都不同,这让我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头能否保持下去。今天我们特别关注中国改革文化控股的净资产收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它是用来评估一家公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for China Reform Culture Holdings

参见我们对中国改革文化控股的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

这个净资产收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Reform Culture Holdings is:

因此,根据上述公式,中国改革文化控股的净资产收益率为:

5.1% = CN¥136m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

5.1%=CN元1.36亿×CN元27亿元(基于截至2023年3月的12个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“报税表”是过去12个月的税后收入。另一种说法是,公司每持有价值1元的股权,就能赚取0.05元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么净资产收益率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司将这些利润再投资或“保留”多少,以及这样做的效率如何,我们就能够评估一家公司的收益增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,与没有相同特征的公司相比,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常会有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of China Reform Culture Holdings' Earnings Growth And 5.1% ROE

中国改革文化控股盈利增长与净资产收益率5.1%的并列比较

It is hard to argue that China Reform Culture Holdings' ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 8.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, China Reform Culture Holdings' five year net income decline of 43% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很难说中国改革文化控股的净资产收益率本身就很好。不仅如此,即使与8.3%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的净资产收益率也完全不起眼。因此,中国改革文化控股五年来净收益下降43%并不令人意外,因为它的净资产收益率较低。我们认为,可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

However, when we compared China Reform Culture Holdings' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 16% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将中国改革文化控股的增长与行业进行比较时发现,在该公司盈利不断萎缩的情况下,同期该行业的盈利增长了16%。这相当令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600636 Past Earnings Growth May 30th 2023
上海证交所:过去600636的收益增长2023年5月30日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about China Reform Culture Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者下一步需要确定的是,预期的收益增长是否已经计入了股价。这有助于他们确定这只股票是为光明还是黯淡的未来做准备。如果你想知道中国改革文化控股有限公司对S的估值,看看这个衡量其市盈率的指标,与其行业相比。

Is China Reform Culture Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中国改革文化控股是否在高效利用其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), China Reform Culture Holdings has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管中国改革文化控股的正常三年中值派息率为32%(它保留了68%的利润),但正如我们上面看到的那样,它的收益出现了下降。因此,可能还有其他因素在起作用,可能会阻碍经济增长。例如,该业务一直面临一些不利因素。

Moreover, China Reform Culture Holdings has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,中国改革文化控股公司至少在十年或更长时间内一直在支付股息,这表明管理层肯定已经意识到,股东更喜欢股息而不是收益增长。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we have mixed feelings about China Reform Culture Holdings. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for China Reform Culture Holdings by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总体而言,我们对中国改革文化控股公司的感受复杂。虽然该公司的利润留存率确实很高,但其低回报率可能正在阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。您可以通过访问我们的网站查看我们为中国改革文化控股确定的3个风险风险控制面板在我们的平台上是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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