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Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605298) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605298) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

江苏必得科技有限公司's (SHSE: 605298) 股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来模棱两可:势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/06/07 21:02

Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology (SHSE:605298) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 29% over the last month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology's ROE.

江苏必德科技股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:605298)在过去一个月中股价大幅上涨了29%。然而,我们决定关注该公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给出该公司财务健康状况的明确迹象。在本文中,我们决定将重点放在江苏必德科技的ROE上。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,净资产收益率显示了每一美元相对于其股东投资产生的利润。

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology

查看我们对江苏必德科技的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,江苏必德科技的ROE为:

4.1% = CN¥40m ÷ CN¥974m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

4.1%=4000万元×9.74亿元(以截至2023年3月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.04 in profit.

“收益”是过去12个月的利润。这意味着,股东权益每增加1元,公司就会产生0.04元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么净资产收益率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”多少利润,我们就能够评估一家公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件不变,净资产收益率和利润保留率越高,与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,公司的增长率就越高。

Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology's Earnings Growth And 4.1% ROE

江苏必德科技盈利增长4.1%净资产收益率

As you can see, Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.4%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology's five year net income decline of 20% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

如你所见,江苏必德科技的净资产收益率看起来相当疲软。即使与行业平均7.4%的净资产收益率相比,该公司的净资产收益率也相当惨淡。正因如此,考虑到江苏毕德科技较低的ROE,其五年净收入下降20%并不令人意外。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益前景产生负面影响。例如-低收益留存或资本分配不佳。

That being said, we compared Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 11% in the same period.

话虽如此,我们将江苏毕德科技的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现该公司在同期盈利缩水的同时,行业盈利以11%的速度增长时,我们感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605298 Past Earnings Growth June 8th 2023
上海证券交易所:过去605298的收益增长2023年6月8日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

赋予一家公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长挂钩。投资者应该尝试确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入价格,无论是哪种情况。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是将进入清澈的蓝色水域,还是等待沼泽水域。与其他公司相比,江苏毕德科技的估值是否公平?这3个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决定。

Is Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

江苏毕德科技能否有效利用其留存收益?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 43% (or a retention ratio of 57%) which is pretty normal, Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

江苏必德科技三年的派息率中值为43%(或留存率为57%),这是相当正常的,但它的盈利下降却令人费解,因为人们预计,当一家公司保留了很大一部分利润时,它会出现相当大的增长。因此,在这方面可能会有其他一些解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,江苏必德科技最近才开始分红。因此,看起来管理层可能已经意识到,尽管收益一直在下降,但股东们倾向于分红。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology.

总体而言,我们对江苏必德科技的感受喜忧参半。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但鉴于净资产收益率较低,投资者可能终究不会从所有这些再投资中受益。低收益增长率表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为江苏必德科技确定的3个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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