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Market Recap: Nobody is necessarily running for the door

Market Recap: Nobody is necessarily running for the door

市场记录:没有人会跑到门口。
moomoo ·  2019/12/09 18:21  · Opinion

Stock floated lower to close as various potential catalysts loom later this week. The health care, technology, industrial and utilities sectors were the biggest loser today while staples, consumer discretionary gained 0.08% and 0.12% respectively. And the expected move of SPY is expanded on the deadline of raising tariffs on China that is coming on Dec 15ththis week.

本周晚些时候,随着各种潜在催化剂的逼近,股市开始走低收盘。医疗保健、科技、工业和公用事业部门是今天最大的输家,而主食、消费者自由裁量分别上涨0.08%和0.12%。预计间谍行动将在本周12月15日上调对华关税的最后期限前扩大。

(S&P 500: 3135.96 -0.32% DOW: 27909.6 -0.38% NASDAQ: 8621.83 -0.40%)

(标准普尔500指数:3135.96%-0.32%道:27909.6%-0.38%纳斯达克:8621.83%-0.40%)

In this week, we have a lot of risk on the table, if you open the calendar to begin this week, we can talk about the Fed, we can talk about China trade deal, we can talk about the ECB details and there are also some CPI numbers, retail sales quotes. These are all kinds of risks on the table right now, but these aren't necessarily what's going to drive all trades this week. The thing that makes a real difference is how much are these traders to start to reach to get the risk off the table.

本周,我们面临着很大的风险,如果你打开本周开始的日历,我们可以谈论美联储,我们可以谈论中国贸易协议,我们可以谈论欧洲央行的细节,还有一些CPI数据,零售销售报价。这些都是摆在桌面上的各种风险,但这些并不一定会推动本周的所有交易。真正不同的是,这些交易员需要达到多少才能摆脱风险。

Today $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ down 0.31% and it's not a sell-side activity as the SPY has been traded on a light volume lately. The more alarming fact is VIX was up 15% today and that's added a little bit of fuel to traders' fear.

今天,SPDR标准普尔500 ETF(SPY.US)美元下跌0.31%,这不是一种卖盘活动,因为间谍最近的交易量很小。更令人震惊的是,VIX今天上涨了15%,这增加了交易员的担忧。

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VVIX daily chart

VVIX日线图

$Volatility S&P 500(.VIX.US)$ itself is totally transparent as everybody sees it but people usually don't necessarily see is the amount of action that's going on $VVIX Index(.VVIX.US)$ which is the volatility of the volatility index that cracked over a hundred today.

标准普尔500指数(.VIX.US)美元本身在每个人看来都是完全透明的,但人们通常不一定会看到美元VVIX指数(.VVIX.US)美元的波动率。

What is indicative of this is that the traders are coming and specifically buying VIX calls which would make the volatility of the volatility index goes up. As it goes up that could signal how extreme are these traders really reaching for getting the risk off the table. So when we seeing some buying volatility activities in the marketplace, volatility starts to go up and as soon as volatility starts to go up it'll actually have a little bit chain reaction of events like trigger some activities to sell SPY.

表明这一点的是,交易员来了,特别是购买了VIX看涨,这将使波动性指数的波动率上升。随着价格的上升,这可能表明这些交易员真正达到了将风险从谈判桌上解脱出来的极端程度。因此,当我们看到市场上的一些买入波动活动,波动性开始上升,一旦波动性开始上升,它实际上会有一些事件的连锁反应,比如触发一些活动出售间谍。

So the VVIX could tell us more along these lines that today there is nobody necessarily running for the door, but they are definitely active.

因此,VVIX可以告诉我们更多的线索,今天没有人一定要跑门,但他们肯定是积极的。

What is the root cause of this issue is we got a lot of risks on the table as described above at the begining, so traders, be cautious about this week on taking gains and stop losses.

造成这一问题的根本原因是,正如上文所述,我们在谈判桌上有很多风险,因此,交易员在本周获利和止损时要小心谨慎。

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