Ahead of Tesla's Q2 Results, Analyst Says to Brace for Short-Term Margin Disappointment But 'Also A Good Recovery Beyond'
Ahead of Tesla's Q2 Results, Analyst Says to Brace for Short-Term Margin Disappointment But 'Also A Good Recovery Beyond'
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ is scheduled to release its second-quarter results after the market closes on Wednesday. Ahead of the results, New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu commented on the company's margins, which have become a concern due to the discounts the company offered during the quarter.
$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ 计划在周三收盘后公布其第二季度业绩。在业绩公布之前,New Street Research分析师 皮埃尔·费拉古 评论了该公司的利润率,由于该公司在本季度提供的折扣,利润率已成为人们关注的问题。
Short-Term Disappointment? While Tesla has lowered prices materially since the end of last summer, the aggressive pricing action has kept the company on track to grow annual deliveries by 50%, said Ferragu in a series of tweets on Friday. This, however, drove margins down from a peak of 30% to 18.34% in the first quarter, he noted.
短期失望? 费拉古在周五的一系列推文中表示,尽管特斯拉自去年夏末以来大幅降低了价格,但激进的定价行动使该公司有望将年交付量增长50%。但是,他指出,这使利润率从第一季度的峰值30%下降到18.34%。
Brace for a – short-term, disappointment, with a further slide in 2Q23... But also a good recovery beyond," Ferragu said.
做好准备 — 短期、令人失望,在 23 年第 2 季度将进一步下滑...但此后也有不错的复苏,” 费拉古说。
Further margin pressure happened in the second quarter, the analyst pointed out, noting that, in the first quarter, a number of cars were delivered at "better prices." The average selling price will drop by a further $3,000 in the second quarter, he said, adding that he expects gross margins to slide a further 270 basis points to 15.6%.
分析师指出,第二季度出现了进一步的利润压力,并指出,在第一季度,许多汽车以 “更优惠的价格” 交付。他说,第二季度平均售价将再下降3,000美元,并补充说,他预计毛利率将再下降270个基点至15.6%。
Light At End Of Tunnel? Ferragu said he sees margins bottoming in the second quarter and recovering afterwards. Even if there are further price cuts, underlying costs are improving fast with the ramp-up of Giga Berlin and Giga Austin, he said.
隧道尽头的光? 费拉古说,他预计利润率将在第二季度触底,之后将复苏。他说,即使进一步降价,随着Giga Berlin和Giga Austin的上涨,基础成本也在迅速改善。
In the long run, the analyst said he sees auto gross margins, excluding full-self driving, to be at 25%. "Given Tesla's cost and product advantage, and knowing that market dynamics will eventually set prices at levels at which some competitors survive, we see it as a necessity," he said.
这位分析师表示,从长远来看,他预计汽车毛利率(不包括全自动驾驶)将达到25%。他说:“鉴于特斯拉的成本和产品优势,并且知道市场动态最终将使价格达到一些竞争对手的生存水平,我们认为这是必要的。”
In the next few years, the analyst said he also sees Tesla expanding gross margins by at least 10 points, "while still growing very fast." "This makes a nice combination," he said.
这位分析师表示,在接下来的几年中,他还认为特斯拉将毛利率提高至少10个百分点,“同时增长速度仍然非常快”。他说:“这是一个不错的组合。”
Tesla closed Friday's session 1.25% higher at $281.38, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Benzinga Pro的数据显示,特斯拉周五收盘上涨1.25%,至281.38美元。