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Liuzhou Iron&Steel (SHSE:601003) Shareholders Are up 4.5% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years

Liuzhou Iron&Steel (SHSE:601003) Shareholders Are up 4.5% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years

柳州钢铁(SHSE: 601003)股东上周上涨了4.5%,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态
Simply Wall St ·  2023/07/26 18:19

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Liuzhou Iron&Steel Co., Ltd (SHSE:601003), since the last five years saw the share price fall 57%.

对许多人来说,投资的主要目的是创造比整体市场更高的回报。但几乎可以肯定的是,每个投资者都会同时拥有表现优异和表现不佳的股票。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们在柳州钢铁股份有限公司(上交所:601003),自过去五年以来,股价下跌了57%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周对股东来说更令人安心,但他们在过去五年仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否对股价下跌负有责任。

See our latest analysis for Liuzhou Iron&Steel

查看我们对柳州钢铁的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Over five years Liuzhou Iron&Steel's earnings per share dropped significantly, falling to a loss, with the share price also lower. At present it's hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.

五年来,柳州钢铁的每股收益大幅下降,陷入亏损,股价也随之走低。目前,很难将每股收益与股价进行有效的比较。然而,我们可以说,在这种情况下,我们预计会看到股价下跌。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(在一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601003 Earnings Per Share Growth July 26th 2023
上海证交所:2023年7月26日每股收益增长601003

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注首席执行官的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是,该公司是否会在未来几年实现盈利增长。在买卖股票之前,我们总是建议仔细检查一下历史增长趋势,可在此处找到。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Liuzhou Iron&Steel's TSR for the last 5 years was -43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。恰好,柳州钢铁最近5年的TSR为-43%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Liuzhou Iron&Steel has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 10% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 7% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Liuzhou Iron&Steel you should be aware of.

令人欣慰的是,柳州钢铁在过去12个月里为股东带来了10%的总回报。当然,这包括股息。这当然超过了过去五年每年约7%的损失。这让我们有点警惕,但这家企业可能已经扭转了命运。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了柳钢的2个警示标志你应该意识到。

Of course Liuzhou Iron&Steel may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然了柳州钢铁可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费成长型股票的集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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