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These 4 Measures Indicate That Rongan PropertyLtd (SZSE:000517) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

These 4 Measures Indicate That Rongan PropertyLtd (SZSE:000517) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

这四项衡量标准表明荣安地产有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000517)正在冒险使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/09 07:18

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Rongan Property Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000517) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。我们可以看到融安物业有限公司。(SZSE:000517)确实在其业务中使用债务。但股东是否应该担心它的债务使用情况?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。

View our latest analysis for Rongan PropertyLtd

查看我们对融安地产有限公司的最新分析

What Is Rongan PropertyLtd's Net Debt?

融安地产的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Rongan PropertyLtd had CN¥8.87b of debt in March 2023, down from CN¥17.3b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥6.81b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.06b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示融安地产有限公司在2023年3月的债务为人民币88.7亿元,低于一年前的人民币173亿元。然而,它也有68.1亿元现金,因此其净债务为20.6亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000517 Debt to Equity History August 8th 2023
深交所:000517债转股历史2023年8月8日

How Strong Is Rongan PropertyLtd's Balance Sheet?

融安地产的资产负债表有多强劲?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Rongan PropertyLtd had liabilities of CN¥49.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.35b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.81b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.45b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥47.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到融安地产有限公司有496亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,还有63.5亿加元的负债在12个月内到期。作为对这些债务的抵销,该公司有68.1亿加元的现金以及价值14.5亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为人民币477亿元,比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥10.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Rongan PropertyLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这一不足给这家104亿元的CN公司本身带来了沉重的负担,就像一个孩子在一个装满书籍、运动装备和小号的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,毫无疑问,我们会密切关注它的资产负债表。归根结底,如果融安地产有限公司的债权人要求偿还,它可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们债务相对于收益的水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),第二个是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息覆盖)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了为其支付的利率。

As it happens Rongan PropertyLtd has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 33.0 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Shareholders should be aware that Rongan PropertyLtd's EBIT was down 99% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rongan PropertyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

碰巧的是,融安地产有限公司的净债务与EBITDA的比率相当令人担忧,为33.0,但利息覆盖率非常高,为1K。因此,要么它可以获得非常便宜的长期债务,要么利息支出将会增长!股东们应该知道,融安地产去年的息税前利润下降了99%。如果这种下降趋势继续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食大会上出售鹅肝酱更难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为融安地产有限公司需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Rongan PropertyLtd's free cash flow amounted to 20% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的一步是看看息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去三年中,融安地产有限公司的自由现金流占其息税前利润的20%,低于我们的预期。当涉及到偿还债务时,这并不是很好。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Rongan PropertyLtd's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Rongan PropertyLtd has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Rongan PropertyLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

坦率地说,融安地产的息税前利润增长率和其保持在总负债之上的记录都让我们对其债务水平感到相当不安。但从好的方面来看,它的利息覆盖是一个好兆头,让我们更加乐观。考虑到上述所有因素,融安地产似乎负债累累。这种风险对一些人来说是可以接受的,但肯定不会让我们的船漂浮起来。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如-融安地产有限公司拥有2个警告标志我们认为你应该意识到。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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