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Is Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) (SHSE:601999) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) (SHSE:601999) Using Too Much Debt?

北方联合出版与媒体(集团)(SHSE: 601999)是否使用了太多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/08 20:05

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited (SHSE:601999) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。我们注意到北方联合出版传媒(集团)有限公司(上交所:601999)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)

查看我们对北方联合出版传媒(集团)的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Carry?

北方联合出版传媒(集团)背负着多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) had CN¥60.1m of debt, up from CN¥30.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥909.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥849.6m.

如下所示,截至2023年3月底,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的债务为6010万加元,高于一年前的3000万加元。单击图像了解更多详细信息。然而,它确实有9.097亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金为8.496亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601999 Debt to Equity History August 9th 2023
上证综指:601999债转股历史2023年8月9日

A Look At Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s Liabilities

北方联合出版传媒(集团)S债务透视

The latest balance sheet data shows that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) had liabilities of CN¥1.41b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥258.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥909.7m in cash and CN¥767.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,北方联合出版传媒(集团)一年内到期负债14.1亿元,一年后到期负债2.587亿元。作为抵消,它有9.097亿加元的现金和7.673亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的总负债与其较短期的流动资产几乎完全匹配。

This state of affairs indicates that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥4.23b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

这种情况表明,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的S资产负债表看起来相当稳健,其总负债与流动资产大致相当。因此,这家42.3亿元人民币的公司不太可能出现现金短缺的情况,但仍值得关注其资产负债表。简而言之,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的现金多于债务的事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但北方联合出版传媒(集团)S的收益将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。

In the last year Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to CN¥2.6b. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,北方联合出版传媒(集团)出现息税前亏损,实际收入缩水13%,至26亿加元。这不是我们希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)?

那么,北方联合出版传媒(集团)的风险有多大?

While Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥79m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

虽然北方联合出版传媒(集团)在息税前利润(EBIT)水平上亏损,但它实际上录得了7900万元的账面利润。因此,当你考虑到它有净现金和法定利润时,它的股票风险可能并不像看起来那样高,至少在短期内是这样。考虑到收入增长乏力,一旦息税前利润为正,我们将对该股感到更放心。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了北方联合出版传媒(集团)的4个警告标志您应该意识到,其中1个可能是严重的。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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