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Here's Why Shenzhen Ecobeauty (SZSE:000010) Can Afford Some Debt

Here's Why Shenzhen Ecobeauty (SZSE:000010) Can Afford Some Debt

这就是为什么深圳生态美(深交所股票代码:000010)可以负担得起一些债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/15 19:41

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shenzhen Ecobeauty Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000010) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你评估一家公司的风险有多大时,聪明的投资者似乎知道债务--通常涉及破产--是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是深圳市生态美容有限公司(SZSE:000010)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Ecobeauty

查看我们对深圳生态美容的最新分析

What Is Shenzhen Ecobeauty's Net Debt?

深圳生态美人的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Shenzhen Ecobeauty had CN¥202.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥137.2m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥14.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥187.4m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2023年6月,深圳生态美的债务为2.02亿元人民币,比一年前增加了1.372亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有1460万加元的现金,导致净债务约为1.874亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000010 Debt to Equity History September 15th 2023
深交所:000010债转股历史2023年9月15日

How Strong Is Shenzhen Ecobeauty's Balance Sheet?

深圳生态美人的资产负债表到底有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Ecobeauty had liabilities of CN¥2.62b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥61.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.6m in cash and CN¥2.29b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥372.5m.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,深圳生态美有26.2亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期,6160万元的负债在一年内到期。作为抵消,它有1460万加元的现金和22.9亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(近期)应收账款的总和3.725亿元。

Given Shenzhen Ecobeauty has a market capitalization of CN¥3.68b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Ecobeauty will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

鉴于深圳生态美容的市值为36.8亿元人民币,很难相信这些债务会构成太大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控它的资产负债表,以免它变得更糟。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为深圳生态美容需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,当考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。

In the last year Shenzhen Ecobeauty had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 77%, to CN¥372m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,深圳生态美业息税前亏损,收入缩水77%,至3.72亿元。坦率地说,这不是一个好兆头。

Caveat Emptor

告诫买入者

While Shenzhen Ecobeauty's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥578m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥45m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Ecobeauty that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然深圳生态美人收入的下降令人心碎,但可以说,其息税前利润(EBIT)亏损就更没有吸引力了。事实上,在息税前利润水平上,它损失了非常可观的5.78亿加元。当我们看到这一点,并回忆起资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,在我们看来,该公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远远不能与之匹配,尽管随着时间的推移,它可能会得到改善。另一个值得警惕的原因是,在过去的12个月里,自由现金流为负4500万元。因此,坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现深圳生态美容的一块警示牌在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,关注那些没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的这类公司的特别名单(都有利润增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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