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Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding (SGX:BWM) A Risky Investment?

Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding (SGX:BWM) A Risky Investment?

浙能锦江环境控股(新加坡证券交易所代码:BWM)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/18 18:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding Company Limited (SGX:BWM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(Charlie Munger 支持他)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们想到一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看看它对债务的使用,因为债务超负荷会导致破产。我们注意到 浙能锦江环境控股有限公司 新加坡证券交易所股票代码:BWM)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东们是否应该担心其对债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding

查看我们对浙能锦江环境控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding Carry?

浙能锦江环境控股公司背负多少债务?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding had CN¥11.3b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥379.4m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥10.9b.

下图显示,浙能锦江环境控股在2023年6月有113亿元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同,你可以点击该图表了解更多详情。但是,由于其现金储备为3.794亿元人民币,因此其净负债较少,约为109亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:BWM Debt to Equity History September 18th 2023
新加坡证券交易所:BWM 债转股历史记录 2023 年 9 月 18 日

How Healthy Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's Balance Sheet?

浙能锦江环境控股的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding had liabilities of CN¥5.74b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.64b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥379.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.25b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥10.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据上次公布的资产负债表,浙能锦江环境控股在12个月内到期的负债为57.4亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为86.4亿元人民币。抵消了这些债务,它有3.794亿元人民币的现金和价值32.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出108亿元人民币。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥1.56b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

这里的缺陷使这家15.6亿人民币的公司本身承受着沉重的负担,好像一个孩子在装满书籍、运动装备和小号的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,毫无疑问,我们会密切关注它的资产负债表。毕竟,如果浙能锦江环境控股公司今天必须偿还债权人,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.8, it's fair to say Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.6 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. However, one redeeming factor is that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding grew its EBIT at 17% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由于净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为6.8,可以公平地说,浙能锦江环境控股确实有大量债务。但好消息是,它拥有相当令人欣慰的2.6倍利息保障,这表明它可以负责任地偿还债务。但是,一个赎回因素是,浙能锦江环境控股的息税前利润在过去12个月中增长了17%,这增强了其处理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,正是浙能锦江环境控股的收益将影响资产负债表未来的表现。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,尽管税务员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,浙能锦江环境控股公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地说,浙能锦江环境控股将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其保持在总负债之上的往绩,都让我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但好的一面是,它的息税前利润增长率是一个好兆头,使我们更加乐观。在考虑了所讨论的数据点之后,我们认为浙能锦江环境控股的债务太多了。尽管一些投资者喜欢这种冒险的游戏,但这当然不是我们的理想之选。资产负债表显然是你分析债务时要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现 浙能锦江环境控股的3个警告信号 在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时候更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司身上。读者可以访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单 100% 免费,现在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

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