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There's Reason For Concern Over Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002248) Massive 26% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002248) Massive 26% Price Jump

有理由担心威海华东数控股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:002248)价格大幅上涨 26%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/19 18:22

Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd (SZSE:002248) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 27% in the last year.

威海华东自动化有限公司(SZSE:002248)股东们会兴奋地看到,股价在一个月里表现出色,上涨了26%,从之前的疲软中恢复过来。再往前看一点,看到该股在去年上涨了27%,这是令人鼓舞的。

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Weihai Huadong Automation as a stock to avoid entirely with its 11.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

在股价大幅上涨后,考虑到中国所在机械行业约有一半的公司市销率(P/S)低于3.2倍,你可能会考虑将威海华东自动化作为一只股票,以避免其11.7倍的P/S比率。然而,P/S可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定是否合理。

Check out our latest analysis for Weihai Huadong Automation

查看我们对威海华东自动化的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002248 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 19th 2023
深圳证券交易所:002248 2023年9月19日行业市销率

How Has Weihai Huadong Automation Performed Recently?

威海华东自动化最近表现如何?

For instance, Weihai Huadong Automation's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,威海华东自动化最近的营收下滑就不得不引起一些思考。一种可能性是,市盈率较高是因为投资者认为,在不久的将来,该公司仍将采取足够的措施,跑赢大盘。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到相当紧张。

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的
free
免费
report on Weihai Huadong Automation's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
威海华东自动化的收益、收入和现金流报告。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

收入预测是否与高市盈率相匹配?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Weihai Huadong Automation would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

为了证明其P/S比率是合理的,威海华东自动化需要实现远远超出行业的出色增长。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.7% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

回顾过去一年,该公司的营收令人沮丧地下降了7.7%。即便如此,尽管在过去的12个月里,总收入比三年前增长了46%,这一点令人钦佩。因此,我们可以从确认该公司在这段时间内总体上在收入增长方面做得非常好开始,尽管在此过程中出现了一些小问题。

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

这与其他行业形成鲜明对比,预计明年该行业将增长31%,大大高于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Weihai Huadong Automation's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

考虑到这一点,我们感到担忧的是,威海华东自动化的P/S超过了行业同行。似乎大多数投资者忽视了最近相当有限的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近收入趋势的延续最终可能会对股价造成沉重压力。

The Bottom Line On Weihai Huadong Automation's P/S

威海华东自动化P/S的底线

Shares in Weihai Huadong Automation have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

威海华东自动化的股价最近出现了强劲的上扬,这确实有助于提高其市盈率。仅仅用市销率来决定你是否应该出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成为公司未来前景的实用指南。

The fact that Weihai Huadong Automation currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

威海华东自动化目前的市盈率高于行业,这是一个奇怪的事实,因为该公司最近三年的增长低于更广泛的行业预测。目前,我们对高市盈率S并不满意,因为这种收入表现不太可能长期支持这种积极的情绪。如果近期的中期营收趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Weihai Huadong Automation you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现威海华东自动化的2个警告标志你应该知道,其中的一个让我们有点不舒服。

If you're unsure about the strength of Weihai Huadong Automation's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不确定威海华东自动化的业务实力,为什么不探索我们的互动列表,为其他一些你可能没有达到预期的公司提供坚实的商业基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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