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Investing in Wanhua Chemical Group (SHSE:600309) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 159% Gain

Investing in Wanhua Chemical Group (SHSE:600309) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 159% Gain

五年前投资万华化学集团(上海证券交易所股票代码:600309)将为您带来159%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 03:51

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For instance, the price of Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600309) stock is up an impressive 125% over the last five years. In contrast, the stock has fallen 9.7% in the last 30 days. This could be related to the soft market, with stocks down around 1.8% in the last month.

在任何股票上(假设你不使用杠杆),你最多可能损失的就是100%的资金。但简而言之,一家好公司的股价涨幅可以远远超过100%。例如,的价格 万华化学集团有限公司 (上海证券交易所代码:600309)的股票在过去五年中上涨了125%,令人印象深刻。相比之下,该股在过去30天内下跌了9.7%。这可能与疲软的市场有关,上个月股市下跌了约1.8%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得一看公司的基本面是否是长期业绩的驱动力,或者是否存在一些差异。

See our latest analysis for Wanhua Chemical Group

查看我们对万华化学集团的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, Wanhua Chemical Group actually saw its EPS drop 4.3% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,万华化学集团的每股收益实际上每年下降4.3%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为目前每股收益可能还没有针对利润进行优化。因此,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

The modest 1.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 24% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Wanhua Chemical Group is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

1.8%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,每年24%的收入增长可能被视为万华化学集团正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,该公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600309 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 4th 2023
上海证券交易所:600309 2023 年 10 月 4 日收益和收入增长

Wanhua Chemical Group is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Wanhua Chemical Group will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

万华化学集团是一家知名股票,拥有大量的分析师报道,这表明未来增长有一定的可见性。因此,看看分析师认为万华化学集团未来的收入是很有意义的(免费的分析师共识估计)

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Wanhua Chemical Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 159%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报以及股价回报。虽然股价回报仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设是再投资)以及任何贴现融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常比股价回报率高得多。碰巧的是,万华化学集团过去5年的股东总回报率为159%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 0.2% in the last year, Wanhua Chemical Group shareholders lost 2.3% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 21% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Wanhua Chemical Group you should be aware of.

尽管整个市场在去年上涨了约0.2%,但万华化学集团的股东却下跌了2.3%(甚至包括股息)。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现低于市场。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长21%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现从长远来看,将股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。一个很好的例子:我们发现了 万华化工集团的3个警告标志 你应该知道。

Of course Wanhua Chemical Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然 万华化学集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能希望看到这个 免费的 成长型股票的收集。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

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