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Investors More Bullish on Wencan Group (SHSE:603348) This Week as Stock Rallies 10%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on Wencan Group (SHSE:603348) This Week as Stock Rallies 10%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

投资者本周更看好文灿集团(上海证券交易所代码:603348),尽管过去五年收益呈下降趋势,但股价上涨了10%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/09 23:04

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For instance, the price of Wencan Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603348) stock is up an impressive 105% over the last five years. And in the last month, the share price has gained 19%.

任何股票(假设你不使用杠杆),你可能损失的最大是你的资金的100%。但好的一面是,在一只非常好的股票上,你可以赚到远远超过100%的收入。例如,的价格 文灿集团有限公司 (上海证券交易所代码:603348)股票在过去五年中上涨了105%,令人印象深刻。而在上个月,股价上涨了19%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。

View our latest analysis for Wencan Group

查看我们对 Wencan Group 的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Wencan Group's earnings per share are down 12% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但文灿集团的每股收益仍每年下降12%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

从本质上讲,投资者似乎不太可能将注意力集中在每股收益上。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

The modest 0.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. On the other hand, Wencan Group's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 31% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

0.3%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。另一方面,文灿集团的收入增长良好,在过去五年中复合增长率为31%。在这种情况下,该公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603348 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2023
上海证券交易所:603348 2023 年 10 月 10 日收益和收入增长

If you are thinking of buying or selling Wencan Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果你正在考虑买入或卖出文灿集团的股票,你应该看看这个 免费 资产负债表的详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Wencan Group, it has a TSR of 112% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报以及股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都被再投资)以及任何贴现的融资和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就文灿集团而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为112%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息极大地推动了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Wencan Group shareholders are down 36% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 0.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 16% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Wencan Group (2 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

文灿集团股东今年下跌了36%(即使包括股息),但市场本身上涨了0.2%。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前,看到企业的基本面指标有所改善。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长16%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。尽管值得考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们已经确定 文灿集团的3个警告标志 (2 不应该被忽略),你应该注意。

Of course Wencan Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然 文灿集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能希望看到这个 免费的 成长型股票的收集。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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