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Investing in Matson (NYSE:MATX) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 164% Gain

Investing in Matson (NYSE:MATX) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 164% Gain

五年前投资马特森(纽约证券交易所代码:MATX)将为您带来164%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 18:10

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. One great example is Matson, Inc. (NYSE:MATX) which saw its share price drive 141% higher over five years. On top of that, the share price is up 16% in about a quarter.

你在任何一只股票上最多只能损失100%的钱(假设你不使用杠杆)。但从好的方面来看,你可以在一只真正好的股票上获得远远超过100%的收益。一个很好的例子是Matson,Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:MATX),其股价在五年内上涨了141%。最重要的是,该公司股价在大约一个季度内上涨了16%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考虑到这一点,值得关注的是,该公司的潜在基本面是长期业绩的驱动力,还是存在一些差异。

View our latest analysis for Matson

查看我们对Matson的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。

During five years of share price growth, Matson achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 18% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 19% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在股价增长的五年中,麦特森实现了每股收益(EPS)每年18%的复合增长。这一每股收益增长相当接近该公司股价19%的年均涨幅。这表明,在这段时间里,围绕该公司的市场情绪没有太大变化。相反,该公司股价已大致追随每股收益的增长。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS是如何随着时间的推移进行跟踪的(如果您点击该图像,您可以看到更多详细信息)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:MATX Earnings Per Share Growth October 10th 2023
纽约证券交易所:MATX每股收益增长2023年10月10日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Matson's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。即便如此,未来的收益对现有股东是否赚钱将重要得多。通过查看Matson的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,更深入地了解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Matson's TSR for the last 5 years was 164%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。碰巧的是,马特森过去5年的TSR为164%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Matson shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 40% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 21% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Matson (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到马特森的股东在过去一年里获得了40%的总股东回报。当然,这包括股息。由于一年期的TSR好于五年期的TSR(后者的年收益率为21%),看起来该股的表现在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的商业势头,意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定马特森的3个警告信号(%1可能是严重的),您应该知道。

Matson is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

马特森并不是业内人士唯一买入的股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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